The Texas State Bobcats (13-5) are favored (-5.5) to build on a three-game winning streak when they host the UT Arlington Mavericks (8-9) at 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 13, 2021 at Strahan Coliseum. The contest airs on ESPN+. The over/under in the matchup is set at 128.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 13, 2021, 2:17 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The spread for this game suggested by the model (4.6 points) is a little bit less than the 5.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Bobcats, though the data still has them as the favorite.
The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 5.8 points lower than the model projection.
Prediction: Texas State 69, UT Arlington 65
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Bobcats’ average implied point total this season is two more points than their implied total in Saturday’s game (69 implied points on average compared to 67 implied points in this game).
- Texas State has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (67) nine times.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Mavericks (74.3) is 13.3 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (61).
- UT Arlington has put up more than 61 points 12 times on the season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Texas State and UT Arlington Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 5.5+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Last 5 Games
|Texas State||UT Arlington|
|2/11/2021||UT Arlington||Win||63-56||2/11/2021||Texas State||Loss||63-56|
|2/6/2021||Little Rock||Win||77-67||2/6/2021||UL Monroe||Win||58-52|
|2/5/2021||Little Rock||Win||57-47||2/5/2021||UL Monroe||Win||63-56|
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