The Texas State Bobcats (13-5) are favored (-5.5) to build on a three-game winning streak when they host the UT Arlington Mavericks (8-9) at 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 13, 2021 at Strahan Coliseum. The contest airs on ESPN+. The over/under in the matchup is set at 128.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 13, 2021, 2:17 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Mavericks (+5.5)

The spread for this game suggested by the model (4.6 points) is a little bit less than the 5.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Bobcats, though the data still has them as the favorite.

Pick OU:
Over (128)

The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 5.8 points lower than the model projection.

Prediction: Texas State 69, UT Arlington 65

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The Bobcats’ average implied point total this season is two more points than their implied total in Saturday’s game (69 implied points on average compared to 67 implied points in this game).
  • Texas State has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (67) nine times.
  • The average implied point total on the season for the Mavericks (74.3) is 13.3 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (61).
  • UT Arlington has put up more than 61 points 12 times on the season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Texas State and UT Arlington Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 5.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Bobcats 7-6-1 1-4-1 5-8-1
Mavericks 5-8 1-3 3-10

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Last 5 Games

Texas State

UT Arlington
Date Opponent Result Score Date Opponent Result Score
2/11/2021 UT Arlington Win 63-56 2/11/2021 Texas State Loss 63-56
2/6/2021 Little Rock Win 77-67 2/6/2021 UL Monroe Win 58-52
2/5/2021 Little Rock Win 57-47 2/5/2021 UL Monroe Win 63-56
1/30/2021 Louisiana Loss 74-73 1/30/2021 Arkansas State Win 65-64
1/29/2021 Louisiana Loss 62-60 1/29/2021 Arkansas State Loss 83-75

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