The Air Force Falcons (4-12) host the Fresno State Bulldogs (7-4) as 4.5-point underdogs after A.J. Walker went off for 33 points in the Falcons 69-63 loss to Fresno State. The game is at 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 13, 2021. The matchup has a point total of 126.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 13, 2021, 2:17 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Computer Picks
Pick ATS:
Falcons (+4.5)
The model favors the Bulldogs by 1.6 points, just 2.9 fewer than the 4.5-point spread set by DraftKings.
Pick OU:
Over (126)
The model projects a total (133.3 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game (126 points). Take the over.
Prediction: Fresno State 67, Air Force 66
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Bulldogs have an average implied point total of 72.9 this season, which is 7.9 points higher than their implied total in Saturday’s game (65).
- Fresno State has surpassed its implied point total for this matchup (65) eight times this season.
- The Falcons’ average implied point total on the season (71 points) is 10 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (61 points).
- Air Force has scored more than 61 points eight times this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Fresno State and Air Force Records ATS
| ATS Record | ATS Record Against 4.5+ Point Spread | Over/Under Record (O-U-P) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs | 4-5 | 4-1 | 3-6 |
| Falcons | 7-9 | 1-2 | 9-7 |
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Last 5 Games
| Fresno State | Air Force | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score | Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
| 2/11/2021 | Air Force | Win | 69-63 | 2/11/2021 | Fresno State | Loss | 69-63 |
| 2/4/2021 | Utah State | Loss | 69-53 | 2/8/2021 | UNLV | Loss | 69-64 |
| 1/30/2021 | New Mexico | Win | 65-55 | 2/6/2021 | UNLV | Loss | 68-58 |
| 1/28/2021 | New Mexico | Win | 64-62 | 1/30/2021 | San Jose State | Loss | 75-62 |
| 1/20/2021 | Boise State | Loss | 73-51 | 1/28/2021 | San Jose State | Loss | 59-58 |
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