The No. 10 Missouri Tigers (13-4) are just 2.5-point favorites as they attempt to extend a four-game home winning streak when they host the Arkansas Razorbacks (15-5) on Saturday, February 13, 2021 at Mizzou Arena. The matchup airs at 4:00 PM ET on ESPN2. The matchup has a point total of 149.5.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 13, 2021, 2:18 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Razorbacks (+2.5)

The model favors the Tigers by 1.3 points, just 1.2 fewer than the 2.5-point spread set by DraftKings.

Pick OU:
Under (149.5)

The DraftKings point total for this game is just 1.1 points highter than the model projection.

Prediction: Missouri 75, Arkansas 74

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The Tigers have an average implied point total of 73.1 this season, which is 2.9 points lower than their implied total in Saturday’s game (76).
  • Missouri is aiming to outscore its implied point total for this matchup (76) for the seventh time this season.
  • The average implied point total on the season for the Razorbacks (80.8) is 6.8 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (74).
  • This season, Arkansas has scored more than this game’s implied total of 74 points 15 times.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Missouri and Arkansas Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 2.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Tigers 10-7 6-3 11-6
Razorbacks 12-7 10-4 12-7

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Betting Tips – Shooting Stats

  • This season, the Tigers have a 45.6% shooting percentage from the field, which is 4% higher than the 41.6% of shots the Razorbacks’ opponents have knocked down.
  • In games Missouri shoots higher than 41.6% from the field, it is 11-2 overall and 9-4 against the spread.
  • Arkansas has put up a 10-3 record against the spread and a 13-1 record overall when its opponents knock down more than 45.6% of their shots from the field.
  • The Razorbacks have shot at a 45% clip from the field this season, 3.4 percentage points greater than the 41.6% shooting opponents of the Tigers have averaged.
  • Arkansas is 13-2 overall and 11-3 against the spread when it shoots higher than 41.6% from the field.
  • Missouri is 10-1 overall and 8-3 against the spread in games it allows opponents to shoot greater than 45% from the field.
  • The Tigers’ 30.8% three-point shooting percentage this season is only one percentage point lower than opponents of the Razorbacks have shot from deep (31.8%).
  • Missouri has a 4-2 record against the spread and a 5-1 record overall when the team hits more than 31.8% of its shots from three-point range.
  • Arkansas is 8-3 against the spread while putting up a 10-2 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 30.8% from three-point range.
  • The Razorbacks are hitting 33.7% of their shots from three-point range, which is only 2.7 percentage points greater than the 31% the Tigers’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Arkansas has a 10-2 ATS record and has gone 11-2 straight-up when making more than 31% of its three-point attempts.
  • Missouri is 10-1 overall and 8-3 ATS in games it shoots over 33.7% from deep.
  • The Tigers’ 6.3 made three-pointers per game this season is 1.8 fewer made shots on average than the 8.1 per game the Razorbacks allow.
  • Arkansas is 9-2 against the spread and 9-3 overall when it hit more threes than its opponents, while Missouri is 5-2 ATS and 6-1 straight up in games when it is out-shot from distance.

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