Mac Jones: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 18 Patriots Vs Bills – January 8, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 6, 2023

NFL play in Week 18 will see the New England Patriots and Mac Jones match up against the Buffalo Bills at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Mac Jones Player Props Vs The Bills

2022 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 6 3
Games w/1+ TDs 8 1
Games w/2+ TDs 3 0

Mac Jones’ Passing Trends

  • Jones has passed for 2,753 yards (211.8 per game) while completing 65.2% of his passes (262-for-402), with 11 touchdowns and eight interceptions.
  • Jones averages 6.8 yards per attempt this season, which ranks 23rd in the league.
  • Jones’ 11 passing touchdowns and 2,753 yards rank 28th and 18th, respectively, in NFL play.
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Jones’ Rushing Trends

  • He’s tacked on 97 rushing yards on 43 carries and one rushing touchdown, averaging 7.5 yards per game.
  • He racks up 2.3 yards per carry (97 yards on 43 attempts).

This Week’s Predictions

Jones (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Bills (2022) Prediction
230.5+ Passing Yards 37.5% 47.6% 53.3% 42.7%
1+ Passing TDs 61.5% 77.6% 80% 68.1%
2+ Passing TDs 23.1% 40.2% 33.3% 27.8%
7.5+ Rushing Yards 25% 97.9% 95.5% 51.7%
1+ Rushing TDs 7.7% 35.8% 27.3% 16.1%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 6.4% 0% 0.8%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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