Northern Iowa vs Valparaiso: College Basketball Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – February 13, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on February 13, 2021 - Last Updated on February 18, 2021

The Northern Iowa Panthers (5-10) host the Valparaiso Crusaders (7-13) in a matchup of MVC teams at McLeod Center, beginning at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 13, 2021. The Crusaders are 7-point underdogs in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season. The over/under in the matchup is set at 138.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 13, 2021, 2:19 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Crusaders (+7)

The spread for this game suggested by the model (5.0 points) is a little tighter than the 7-point edge DraftKings gives to the Panthers, though the data still has them as the favorite.

Pick OU:
Over (138)

DraftKings and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this game, within 0.7 points of each other.

Prediction: Northern Iowa 72, Valparaiso 67

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The Panthers’ average implied point total this season is 1.5 fewer points than their implied total in Saturday’s game (71.5 implied points on average compared to 73 implied points in this game).
  • Northern Iowa is aiming to outscore its implied point total for this matchup (73) for the fifth time this season.
  • The 71.9-point average implied total on the season for the Crusaders is 5.9 more points than the team’s 66-point implied total in this matchup.
  • Valparaiso will try to surpass its implied point total for this matchup (66) for the 12th time this season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Northern Iowa and Valparaiso Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 7+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Panthers 2-11 0-0 6-6-1
Crusaders 6-10-1 1-0 6-11

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Last 5 Games

Northern Iowa

Date Opponent Result Score Date Opponent Result Score
2/10/2021 Drake Loss 80-59 2/10/2021 Bradley Loss 76-52
2/7/2021 Indiana State Win 70-67 2/7/2021 Drake Win 74-57
2/6/2021 Indiana State Loss 61-57 2/6/2021 Drake Loss 80-77
1/31/2021 Southern Illinois Loss 71-68 2/1/2021 Evansville Loss 58-51
1/30/2021 Southern Illinois Win 74-62 1/31/2021 Evansville Loss 70-52

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