The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (4-7) are expected to continue a six-game losing streak when they visit the Youngstown State Penguins (8-7) as 5.5-point underdogs at 5:00 PM ET on Friday, February 12, 2021 at Beeghly Center. The game airs on ESPN+. The matchup’s point total is set at 150.5.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 12, 2021, 2:15 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Computer Picks
Pick ATS:
Mastodons (+5.5)
The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (4.3 points) is slightly less than the 5.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Penguins, though the data still has them as the favorite.
Pick OU:
Over (150.5)
DraftKings and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this game, within 0.1 points of each other.
Prediction: Youngstown State 77, Purdue Fort Wayne 73
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Penguins have an average implied point total of 73.6 this season, which is 4.4 points lower than their implied total in Friday’s game (78).
- So far this season, Youngstown State has scored more than its implied point total for this matchup (78) four times.
- The 75.8-point average implied total on the season for the Mastodons is 2.8 more points than the team’s 73-point implied total in this matchup.
- Purdue Fort Wayne has scored more than 73 points four times this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Youngstown State and Purdue Fort Wayne Records ATS
| ATS Record | ATS Record Against 5.5+ Point Spread | Over/Under Record (O-U-P) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penguins | 5-5 | 0-0 | 6-4-1 |
| Mastodons | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 |
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Last 5 Games
| Youngstown State | Purdue Fort Wayne | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score | Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
| 2/8/2021 | Rochester (MI) | Win | 60-50 | 2/6/2021 | Detroit Mercy | Loss | 83-56 |
| 2/6/2021 | Robert Morris | Win | 70-66 | 2/5/2021 | Detroit Mercy | Loss | 82-72 |
| 2/5/2021 | Robert Morris | Win | 84-78 | 1/30/2021 | Oakland | Loss | 82-75 |
| 1/30/2021 | Detroit Mercy | Loss | 77-72 | 1/29/2021 | Oakland | Loss | 81-66 |
| 1/29/2021 | Detroit Mercy | Loss | 78-75 | 1/23/2021 | Green Bay | Loss | 87-72 |
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