The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (4-7) are expected to continue a six-game losing streak when they visit the Youngstown State Penguins (8-7) as 5.5-point underdogs at 5:00 PM ET on Friday, February 12, 2021 at Beeghly Center. The game airs on ESPN+. The matchup’s point total is set at 150.5.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 12, 2021, 2:15 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Mastodons (+5.5)

The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (4.3 points) is slightly less than the 5.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Penguins, though the data still has them as the favorite.

Pick OU:
Over (150.5)

DraftKings and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this game, within 0.1 points of each other.

Prediction: Youngstown State 77, Purdue Fort Wayne 73

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The Penguins have an average implied point total of 73.6 this season, which is 4.4 points lower than their implied total in Friday’s game (78).
  • So far this season, Youngstown State has scored more than its implied point total for this matchup (78) four times.
  • The 75.8-point average implied total on the season for the Mastodons is 2.8 more points than the team’s 73-point implied total in this matchup.
  • Purdue Fort Wayne has scored more than 73 points four times this season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Youngstown State and Purdue Fort Wayne Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 5.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Penguins 5-5 0-0 6-4-1
Mastodons 3-7 0-0 5-5

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Last 5 Games

Youngstown State

Purdue Fort Wayne
Date Opponent Result Score Date Opponent Result Score
2/8/2021 Rochester (MI) Win 60-50 2/6/2021 Detroit Mercy Loss 83-56
2/6/2021 Robert Morris Win 70-66 2/5/2021 Detroit Mercy Loss 82-72
2/5/2021 Robert Morris Win 84-78 1/30/2021 Oakland Loss 82-75
1/30/2021 Detroit Mercy Loss 77-72 1/29/2021 Oakland Loss 81-66
1/29/2021 Detroit Mercy Loss 78-75 1/23/2021 Green Bay Loss 87-72

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