The UTSA Roadrunners (10-9) host the Florida Atlantic Owls (8-7) after winning four home games in a row. The Roadrunners are favored by 4 points in the matchup, which begins at 7:00 PM ET on Friday, February 12, 2021. The over/under is 146 in the matchup.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 12, 2021, 2:16 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The spread for this game suggested by the model (2.7 points) is a little tighter than the 4-point edge DraftKings gives to the Roadrunners, though the data still has them as the favorite.
The model’s predicted total (145.2 points) and the DraftKings set total (146 points) are virtually the same for this contest.
Prediction: UTSA 74, Florida Atlantic 71
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Roadrunners’ average implied point total this season is 2.9 more points than their implied total in Friday’s game (77.9 implied points on average compared to 75 implied points in this game).
- So far this season, UTSA has scored more than its implied point total for this matchup (75) 10 times.
- The Owls’ average implied point total on the season (70.2 points) is 0.8 points lower than their implied total in this matchup (71 points).
- Florida Atlantic has scored more than this game’s implied total of 71 points eight times this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
UTSA and Florida Atlantic Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 4+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- This season, the Roadrunners have a 43.1% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.4% higher than the 41.7% of shots the Owls’ opponents have hit.
- When UTSA shoots higher than 41.7% from the field, it is 5-2 against the spread and 7-2 overall.
- Florida Atlantic’s record is 3-2 against the spread and 6-3 overall when it allows its opponents to hit more than 43.1% of their shots from the field.
- The Owls’ 47.3% shooting percentage from the field this season is 3.8 percentage points higher than the Roadrunners have allowed to their opponents (43.5%).
- This season, Florida Atlantic has a 3-3 record against the spread and a 7-3 record overall in games the team collectively shoots better than 43.5% from the field.
- This season, UTSA has a 9-4 straight up record and a 6-4 record against the spread when it allows opponents to shoot above 47.3% from the field.
- The Roadrunners’ 31.8% three-point shooting percentage this season is 3.5 percentage points lower than opponents of the Owls have shot from beyond the arc (35.3%).
- UTSA has assembled a 5-1 record against the spread and a 6-1 straight-up record in games this season when knocking down more than 35.3% of its three-point shots.
- Florida Atlantic is 2-2 against the spread while putting up a 4-2 straight-up record when its opponents make more than 31.8% of their shots from beyond the arc.
- The Owls are knocking down 38.3% of their shots from three-point range, which is 3.7 percentage points higher than the 34.6% the Roadrunners’ are averaging on the season.
- Florida Atlantic has a 5-1 ATS record and is 8-2 straight-up in games when the team hits more than 34.6% of its three-point attempts.
- UTSA has a 10-3 straight-up record and a 7-3 ATS record this season when it knocks down more than 38.3% of its three-point attempts.
- The Roadrunners knock down 7.8 three-pointers per game this season, 2.0 fewer makes per game than the Owls give up (9.8).
- The Owls are 3-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall when they make more threes than their opponents, while the Roadrunners are 1-7 ATS and 1-7 straight up in games when they are out-shot from the three-point line.
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