A.J. Dillon: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 18 Packers Vs Lions – January 8, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 5, 2023

NFL action in Week 18 at Lambeau Field will see the Green Bay Packers and A.J. Dillon hit the field against the Detroit Lions at 8:20 PM ET on Sunday.

A.J. Dillon Player Props Vs The Lions

2022 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 7 8
Games w/1+ TDs 6 0
Games w/2+ TDs 1 0

A.J. Dillon’s Rushing Trends

  • Dillon has 737 yards on 177 carries (46.1 ypg), with seven rushing touchdowns.
  • He ranks 30th in the NFL with 4.2 rushing yards per attempt.
  • Dillon has racked up 737 rushing yards and seven rushing touchdowns to rank 34th and 15th, respectively, in those categories.
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Dillon’s Receiving Trends

  • Dillon also makes an impact in the passing game, catching 28 passes for 206 yards (12.9 ypg).
  • Dillon is averaging 7.4 yards per catch this season, with 206 yards on 28 receptions.

This Week’s Predictions

Dillon (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Lions (2022) Prediction
43.5+ Rushing Yards 43.8% 62% 66.7% 51.8%
1+ Rushing TDs 37.5% 35.8% 48.1% 39.9%
2+ Rushing TDs 6.2% 6.4% 11.1% 7.4%
10.5+ Receiving Yards 43.8% 91.1% 94.7% 62.4%
1+ Receiving TDs 0% 22.1% 27.6% 9.7%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3.2% 3.9% 1.4%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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