The Little Rock Trojans (9-8) are just 2.5-point favorites as they attempt to end a three-game road losing streak when they square off against the Arkansas State Red Wolves (8-7) on Friday, February 12, 2021 at First National Bank Arena. The matchup airs at 8:30 PM ET on ESPN+. The point total for the matchup is 143.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 12, 2021, 2:17 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Red Wolves (+2.5)

The model favors the Trojans by 1.2 points, just 1.3 less than the 2.5-point spread set by DraftKings.

Pick OU:
Over (143)

DraftKings and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this game, within 0.3 points of each other.

Prediction: Little Rock 72, Arkansas State 71

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The Trojans’ average implied point total this season is 0.2 fewer points than their implied total in Friday’s game (72.8 implied points on average compared to 73 implied points in this game).
  • Little Rock has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (73) seven times.
  • The 75.4-point average implied total on the season for the Red Wolves is 5.4 more points than the team’s 70-point implied total in this matchup.
  • Arkansas State has totaled more than 70 points 10 times on the season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Little Rock and Arkansas State Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 2.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Trojans 4-11 1-5 6-9
Red Wolves 3-4-1 0-3 4-4

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Last 5 Games

Little Rock

Arkansas State
Date Opponent Result Score Date Opponent Result Score
2/6/2021 Texas State Loss 77-67 2/6/2021 Louisiana Win 83-77
2/5/2021 Texas State Loss 57-47 2/5/2021 Louisiana Win 95-87
1/30/2021 UL Monroe Win 65-49 1/30/2021 UT Arlington Loss 65-64
1/29/2021 UL Monroe Win 66-62 1/29/2021 UT Arlington Win 83-75
1/23/2021 UT Arlington Loss 66-61 1/23/2021 Louisiana Loss 77-74

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