The Little Rock Trojans (9-8) are just 2.5-point favorites as they attempt to end a three-game road losing streak when they square off against the Arkansas State Red Wolves (8-7) on Friday, February 12, 2021 at First National Bank Arena. The matchup airs at 8:30 PM ET on ESPN+. The point total for the matchup is 143.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 12, 2021, 2:17 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Red Wolves (+2.5)
The model favors the Trojans by 1.2 points, just 1.3 less than the 2.5-point spread set by DraftKings.
DraftKings and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this game, within 0.3 points of each other.
Prediction: Little Rock 72, Arkansas State 71
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Trojans’ average implied point total this season is 0.2 fewer points than their implied total in Friday’s game (72.8 implied points on average compared to 73 implied points in this game).
- Little Rock has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (73) seven times.
- The 75.4-point average implied total on the season for the Red Wolves is 5.4 more points than the team’s 70-point implied total in this matchup.
- Arkansas State has totaled more than 70 points 10 times on the season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Little Rock and Arkansas State Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 2.5+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Last 5 Games
|Little Rock||Arkansas State|
|1/30/2021||UL Monroe||Win||65-49||1/30/2021||UT Arlington||Loss||65-64|
|1/29/2021||UL Monroe||Win||66-62||1/29/2021||UT Arlington||Win||83-75|
Powered By Data Skrive using data from