The UT Arlington Mavericks (8-8) will try to continue a three-game winning streak when they host the Texas State Bobcats (12-5) on Thursday, February 11, 2021 at College Park Center as just 1.5-point underdogs. The contest airs at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s point total is 128.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 11, 2021, 2:15 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Mavericks (+1.5)

The model line is much more favorable to the Mavericks compared to the DraftKings line, a 3.3 point difference, and has them favored to win Thursday’s game outright. Put your money on the Mavericks.

Pick OU:
Over (128)

The model projects a total 6.7 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.

Prediction: UT Arlington 68, Texas State 66

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The average implied total for the Bobcats this season is 69.3 points, 4.3 more points than their implied total of 65 points in Thursday’s game.
  • So far this season, Texas State has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (65) nine times.
  • The Mavericks’ average implied point total on the season (75.1 points) is 12.1 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (63 points).
  • UT Arlington has totaled more than 63 points 11 times this season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Texas State and UT Arlington Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 1.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Bobcats 6-6-1 4-4-1 5-7-1
Mavericks 5-7 1-5 3-9

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Last 5 Games

Texas State

UT Arlington
Date Opponent Result Score Date Opponent Result Score
2/6/2021 Little Rock Win 77-67 2/6/2021 UL Monroe Win 58-52
2/5/2021 Little Rock Win 57-47 2/5/2021 UL Monroe Win 63-56
1/30/2021 Louisiana Loss 74-73 1/30/2021 Arkansas State Win 65-64
1/29/2021 Louisiana Loss 62-60 1/29/2021 Arkansas State Loss 83-75
1/23/2021 UL Monroe Win 69-63 1/23/2021 Little Rock Win 66-61

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