The South Alabama Jaguars (11-6) will try to build on a four-game winning streak when they host the Troy Trojans (9-9) on Thursday, February 11, 2021 at Mitchell Center as 6-point favorites. The matchup airs at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The point total for the matchup is 134.5.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 11, 2021, 2:15 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Jaguars (-6)

Both DraftKings and the model expect the Jaguars to walk away with the win, but the model spread (8.1) is 2.1 points further in their direction.

Pick OU:
Over (134.5)

In this game, the model projects a total (138.6 points) slightly higher than the DraftKings over/under (134.5 points).

Prediction: South Alabama 73, Troy 65

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The Jaguars have an average implied point total of 71.4 this season, which is 1.4 points higher than their implied total in Thursday’s game (70).
  • South Alabama has scored more than its implied point total in this matchup (70) 14 times this season.
  • The average implied point total on the season for the Trojans (72.8) is 8.8 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (64).
  • Troy has scored more than 64 points in 11 games this season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

South Alabama and Troy Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 6+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Jaguars 5-7 0-1 7-5
Trojans 9-5 0-0 4-9-1

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Last 5 Games

South Alabama

Troy
Date Opponent Result Score Date Opponent Result Score
2/9/2021 Georgia State Win 70-67 2/6/2021 Georgia Southern Loss 79-64
2/6/2021 Coastal Carolina Win 70-66 2/5/2021 Georgia Southern Win 68-56
2/5/2021 Coastal Carolina Win 71-65 2/2/2021 Spring Hill Win 90-73
1/23/2021 Georgia Southern Win 62-48 1/30/2021 Appalachian State Win 65-59
1/22/2021 Georgia Southern Loss 84-75 1/29/2021 Appalachian State Win 71-62

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