The Merrimack Warriors (5-3) visit the Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (4-8) in a matchup of NEC teams at William H. Detrick Gymnasium, tipping off at 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, February 11, 2021. The Warriors are 2.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season. The point total is 133 in the matchup.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 11, 2021, 2:15 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Blue Devils (+2.5)

The model favors the Warriors by 0.6 points, just 1.9 fewer than the 2.5-point spread set by DraftKings.

Pick OU:
Over (133)

In this matchup, the model projects a total (140.6 points) considerably higher than the DraftKings over/under (133 points). Bet on the over.

Prediction: Merrimack 71, Cent. Conn. St. 70

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The Warriors’ average implied point total this season is two fewer points than their implied total in Thursday’s game (66 implied points on average compared to 68 implied points in this game).
  • Merrimack has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (68) four times.
  • The average implied point total on the season for the Blue Devils (75.2) is 10.2 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (65).
  • Cent. Conn. St. has scored more than 65 points eight times on the season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Merrimack and Cent. Conn. St. Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 2.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Warriors 2-2 1-0 1-3
Blue Devils 4-4 0-0 3-5

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Last 5 Games


Cent. Conn. St.
Date Opponent Result Score Date Opponent Result Score
2/5/2021 Saint Francis (PA) Win 59-54 1/31/2021 Saint Francis (PA) Win 85-77
2/4/2021 Saint Francis (PA) Win 68-62 1/30/2021 Saint Francis (PA) Loss 62-59
1/28/2021 LIU Loss 78-68 1/22/2021 Mount St. Mary’s Win 65-64
1/27/2021 LIU Win 68-63 1/21/2021 Mount St. Mary’s Loss 67-57
1/22/2021 Fairleigh Dickinson Win 76-71 1/14/2021 Sacred Heart Loss 65-48

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