Fresno State vs Air Force: College Basketball Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – February 11, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on February 11, 2021 - Last Updated on February 13, 2021

The Air Force Falcons (4-11) will attempt to break a seven-game losing streak when they host the Fresno State Bulldogs (6-4) on Thursday, February 11, 2021 at Clune Arena as 4.5-point underdogs. The contest airs at 9:00 PM ET. The point total is 123.5 for the matchup.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 11, 2021, 2:16 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Falcons (+4.5)

The Bulldogs are favored by both DraftKings and the model, but the model has them winning by significantly less (4.5 to 1.3 points). Take the Falcons and the points.

Pick OU:
Over (123.5)

The model projects a total (133.4 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game (123.5 points). Take the over.

Prediction: Fresno State 67, Air Force 66

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The average implied total for the Bulldogs this season is 73.8 points, 9.8 more points than their implied total of 64 points in Thursday’s game.
  • So far this season, Fresno State has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (64) eight times.
  • The average implied point total on the season for the Falcons (71.3) is 11.3 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (60).
  • Air Force has scored more than this game’s implied total of 60 points seven times this season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Fresno State and Air Force Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 4.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Bulldogs 3-5 3-1 2-6
Falcons 7-8 1-2 8-7

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Last 5 Games

Fresno State

Air Force
Date Opponent Result Score Date Opponent Result Score
2/4/2021 Utah State Loss 69-53 2/8/2021 UNLV Loss 69-64
1/30/2021 New Mexico Win 65-55 2/6/2021 UNLV Loss 68-58
1/28/2021 New Mexico Win 64-62 1/30/2021 San Jose State Loss 75-62
1/20/2021 Boise State Loss 73-51 1/28/2021 San Jose State Loss 59-58
1/17/2021 Nevada Loss 79-65 1/24/2021 San Diego State Loss 91-59

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