The Air Force Falcons (4-11) will attempt to break a seven-game losing streak when they host the Fresno State Bulldogs (6-4) on Thursday, February 11, 2021 at Clune Arena as 4.5-point underdogs. The contest airs at 9:00 PM ET. The point total is 123.5 for the matchup.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 11, 2021, 2:16 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Computer Picks
Pick ATS:
Falcons (+4.5)
The Bulldogs are favored by both DraftKings and the model, but the model has them winning by significantly less (4.5 to 1.3 points). Take the Falcons and the points.
Pick OU:
Over (123.5)
The model projects a total (133.4 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game (123.5 points). Take the over.
Prediction: Fresno State 67, Air Force 66
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The average implied total for the Bulldogs this season is 73.8 points, 9.8 more points than their implied total of 64 points in Thursday’s game.
- So far this season, Fresno State has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (64) eight times.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Falcons (71.3) is 11.3 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (60).
- Air Force has scored more than this game’s implied total of 60 points seven times this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Fresno State and Air Force Records ATS
| ATS Record | ATS Record Against 4.5+ Point Spread | Over/Under Record (O-U-P) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs | 3-5 | 3-1 | 2-6 |
| Falcons | 7-8 | 1-2 | 8-7 |
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Last 5 Games
| Fresno State | Air Force | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score | Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
| 2/4/2021 | Utah State | Loss | 69-53 | 2/8/2021 | UNLV | Loss | 69-64 |
| 1/30/2021 | New Mexico | Win | 65-55 | 2/6/2021 | UNLV | Loss | 68-58 |
| 1/28/2021 | New Mexico | Win | 64-62 | 1/30/2021 | San Jose State | Loss | 75-62 |
| 1/20/2021 | Boise State | Loss | 73-51 | 1/28/2021 | San Jose State | Loss | 59-58 |
| 1/17/2021 | Nevada | Loss | 79-65 | 1/24/2021 | San Diego State | Loss | 91-59 |
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