The Boise State Broncos (8-4) are heavy favorites (-10.5) as they try to extend a three-game home winning streak when they host the UNLV Rebels (7-8) on Thursday, February 11, 2021 at Taco Bell Arena. The matchup airs at 10:00 PM ET on CBS Sports. The matchup has an over/under of 142.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 11, 2021, 2:16 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The model projects the Broncos to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by a small margin more (12.2 to 10.5).
DraftKings and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this contest, within 0.9 points of each other.
Prediction: Boise State 77, UNLV 64
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Broncos’ average implied point total this season is 0.5 more points than their implied total in Thursday’s game (76.5 implied points on average compared to 76 implied points in this game).
- Boise State has surpassed its implied point total for this matchup (76) five times this season.
- The 75.3-point average implied total on the season for the Rebels is 9.3 more points than the team’s 66-point implied total in this matchup.
- UNLV has scored more than 66 points 10 times this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Boise State and UNLV Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 10.5+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Last 5 Games
|1/20/2021||Fresno State||Win||73-51||1/27/2021||Utah State||Loss||83-74|
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