Lakers vs Thunder: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – February 10, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on February 10, 2021 - Last Updated on February 13, 2021

The Los Angeles Lakers (19-6) are heavily favored (by 12 points) to build on a three-game home win streak when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder (10-13) on Wednesday, February 10, 2021 at 10:00 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 218.5 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of February 10, 2021, 7:07 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Lakers vs Thunder Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of February 10

Lakers:
Anthony Davis: Day To Day (Achilles),
Jared Dudley: Out (Calf),
Alex Caruso: Day To Day (Hand),
LeBron James: Day To Day (Ankle),
Kostas Antetokounmpo: Out (Knee)

Thunder:
Trevor Ariza: Out (Personal),
Theo Maledon: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Mike Muscala: Day To Day (Concussion),
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Out (Knee),
George Hill: Out (Thumb)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Lakers (-12)
Total Pick Over (218.5)
Prediction Lakers 117, Thunder 103

The model projects the Lakers to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by a small margin more (13.4 to 12).

In this matchup, the model projects a total (219.9 points) a little higher than the DraftKings over/under (218.5 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Lakers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
LeBron James 25 25.6 7.9 7.9 1.0 0.5 2.7
Anthony Davis 21 22.2 8.6 3.2 1.4 1.9 0.8
Dennis Schroder 25 14.4 3.7 4.4 0.8 0.2 1.0
Montrezl Harrell 25 13.2 6.4 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.0
Kyle Kuzma 25 10.1 5.8 1.1 0.3 0.7 1.7

Lakers Player Props

  • LeBron James’ assists prop total for the contest is set at 8.5 assists, 0.6 assists greater than his season average of 7.9.
  • Anthony Davis’ rebounding prop over/under for the contest is set at 8.5 rebounds, 0.1 rebounds lower than his season average of 8.6.
  • James’ three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots lower than his season average of 2.7.
  • Davis’ steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.1 steals greater than his season average of 1.4.

Thunder Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 21 22.6 5.6 6.5 0.9 0.7 1.9
Al Horford 15 13.7 7.0 3.0 0.9 0.9 2.3
Hamidou Diallo 23 12.6 4.9 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.4
Darius Bazley 23 12.0 7.6 1.6 0.4 0.7 1.4
George Hill 14 11.8 2.1 3.1 0.9 0.1 1.6

Thunder Player Props

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s points prop total for the game is set at 21.5, 1.1 points lower than his season average of 22.6.
  • Darius Bazley’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 18.5, 2.7 lower than his season average of 21.2.
  • Al Horford’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.8 shots lower than his season average of 2.3.
  • Theo Maledon’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 0.5, 0.5 steals lower than his season average of 1.0.

Shooting Trends

  • The Lakers are shooting 48.6% from the field this season, 2.3 percentage points higher than the 46.3% the Thunder allow to opponents.
  • Los Angeles has a 9-9 record against the spread and a 13-5 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 46.3% from the field.
  • Oklahoma City has a 9-4-1 record against the spread and a 7-7 record overall when allowing its opponents to make more than 48.6% of their shots from the field.
  • The Thunder have shot at a 45% clip from the field this season, 0.2 percentage points above the 44.8% shooting opponents of the Lakers have averaged.
  • This season, Oklahoma City has a 7-3-1 record against the spread and a 6-5 record overall in games the team collectively shoots better than 44.8% from the field.
  • When Los Angeles’ opponents shoot greater than 45% from the field, it is 7-3 against the spread and 10-0 overall.
  • The Lakers are hitting 37.5% of their three-point shots this season, two% higher than the 35.5% the Thunder allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Los Angeles is 7-5 against the spread and 10-2 overall when it shoots better than 35.5% from distance.
  • Oklahoma City is 11-5 against the spread and 8-8 overall when its opponents shoot better than 37.5% from deep.
  • The Thunder’s three-point shooting percentage this season (34.1%) is only 0.1 percentage points lower than opponents of the Lakers are averaging (34.2%).
  • Oklahoma City has a 6-2-1 ATS record and is 5-4 straight-up when the team hits more than 34.2% of its three-point attempts.
  • Los Angeles is 9-3 ATS and 11-1 overall in games it shoots over 34.1% from deep.
  • The Lakers knock down 11.3 three-pointers per game this season, 1.7 fewer makes per game than the Thunder give up (13).
  • Oklahoma City is 8-3 against the spread and 6-5 overall when it connects on more threes than its opponents, while Los Angeles is 3-9 ATS and 6-6 straight up in games when it is out-shot from deep.
  • The Thunder rank 13th in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Lakers allow the least made threes in the league.

Lakers vs Thunder Stat Rankings

Lakers Rank Lakers AVG Thunder AVG Thunder Rank
14th 113.1 Points Scored 107.7 25th
2nd 104.9 Points Allowed 114.1 24th
7th 45.8 Rebounds 44.6 9th
19th 9.8 Off. Rebounds 7.6 29th
24th 11.3 3pt Made 13 13th
12th 25.1 Assists 22.6 26th
24th 14.3 Turnovers 13.9 18th

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