The No. 10 Missouri Tigers (13-3) are 1.5-point underdogs as they try to continue a three-game winning streak when they visit the Ole Miss Rebels (10-8) at 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, February 10, 2021 at The Pavilion at Ole Miss. The matchup airs on SECN. The over/under is set at 133 in the matchup.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 10, 2021, 2:15 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
While DraftKings has the Rebels winning by 1.5, the model has the Tigers taking home the victory, though the margin is fairly small (2.1 points). Lean toward taking the Tigers.
In this game, the model projects a total (138.6 points) marginally higher than the DraftKings over/under (133 points).
Prediction: Missouri 70, Ole Miss 69
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Rebels have an average implied point total of 74.2 this season, which is 7.2 points higher than their implied total in Wednesday’s game (67).
- Ole Miss has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (67) nine times.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Tigers (73.4) is 7.4 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (66).
- Missouri has scored more than this game’s implied total of 66 points 13 times this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Ole Miss and Missouri Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 1.5+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- This season, the Rebels have a 44.1% shooting percentage from the field, which is 3.3% higher than the 40.8% of shots the Tigers’ opponents have knocked down.
- Ole Miss has an 8-3 record against the spread and an 8-3 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 40.8% from the field.
- Missouri has gone 8-3 against the spread and 10-1 overall in games it allows its opponents to shoot better than 44.1% from the field.
- The Tigers have shot at a 45.4% clip from the field this season, 3.3 percentage points higher than the 42.1% shooting opponents of the Rebels have averaged.
- This season, Missouri has a 9-3 record against the spread and an 11-1 record overall in games the team collectively shoots higher than 42.1% from the field.
- This season, Ole Miss has a 9-2 straight up record and an 8-3 record against the spread when it allows opponents to shoot greater than 45.4% from the field.
- The Rebels are knocking down 28.1% of their three-point shots this season, 2.4% lower than the 30.5% the Tigers allow opponents to shoot from deep.
- Ole Miss has a 3-5 record against the spread and a 3-5 record overall when the team connects on more than 30.5% of its three-point shots.
- Missouri is 4-3 against the spread while putting together a 6-1 straight-up record when its opponents make more than 28.1% of their shots from downtown.
- The Tigers’ three-point shooting percentage this season (30.1%) is just 6.9 percentage points lower than opponents of the Rebels are averaging (37%).
- Missouri has a 4-1 ATS record and is 5-0 straight-up when the team hits more than 37% of its three-point attempts.
- Ole Miss has a 4-1 ATS record and a 5-0 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 30.1% from deep.
- The Rebels make 5.2 three-pointers per game this season, only one fewer make per game than the Tigers allow (6.2).
- The Tigers are 3-3 against the spread and 5-1 overall when they make more threes than their opponents, while the Rebels are 6-5 ATS and 6-5 straight up in games when they are out-shot from the three-point line.
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