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Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks (11-12) are 4.5-point underdogs against Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (11-14) Wednesday, February 10, 2021 at American Airlines Center. The matchup tips off at 7:30 PM ET on ESPN. The matchup has an over/under of 233.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of February 10, 2021, 1:06 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Mavericks vs Hawks Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of February 10

Mavericks: None

Hawks:
Rajon Rondo: Out (Back),
Kris Dunn: Out (Right ankle),
Bogdan Bogdanovic: Out (Knee),
De’Andre Hunter: Out (Right Knee)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Hawks (+4.5)
Total Pick Under (233.5)
Prediction Mavericks 113, Hawks 112

The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (1.3 points) is considerably less than the 4.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Mavericks, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Hawks to cover.

The model predicts a total (224.3 points) much lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (233.5 points). Take the under.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 24 27.8 8.7 9.3 1.0 0.6 2.2
Kristaps Porzingis 14 20.0 8.6 1.5 0.3 1.8 2.1
Tim Hardaway Jr. 24 17.3 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.2 3.2
Josh Richardson 16 13.1 3.1 2.3 0.9 0.3 1.6
Jalen Brunson 21 11.2 3.1 3.5 0.4 0.0 1.0

Mavericks Player Props

  • Doncic’s rebounding prop total for the matchup is set at 8.5 boards, 0.2 rebounds lower than his season average of 8.7.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr.’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 3.5, 0.3 shots higher than his season average of 3.2.
  • Kristaps Porzingis’ blocks prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.3 blocks lower than his season average of 1.8.

Hawks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Trae Young 21 26.7 4.0 9.2 0.7 0.3 2.3
John Collins 23 17.8 7.8 1.7 0.5 1.0 1.5
De’Andre Hunter 18 17.2 5.4 2.2 0.9 0.5 1.7
Clint Capela 20 13.7 14.6 1.1 0.8 2.4 0.0
Kevin Huerter 23 12.3 3.7 3.6 1.2 0.2 2.3

Hawks Player Props

  • Young’s points prop over/under for the game is set at 27.5, 0.8 points higher than his season average of 26.7.
  • Clint Capela’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 27.5, 1.9 lower than his season average of 29.4.
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots higher than his season average of 2.3.
  • Cameron Reddish’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.3 steals higher than his season average of 1.2.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Mavericks have a 45.8% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.1% higher than the 44.7% of shots the Hawks’ opponents have made.
  • In games Dallas shoots better than 44.7% from the field, it is 8-6 against the spread and 9-5 overall.
  • Atlanta is 10-4 against the spread and 11-3 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 45.8% from the field.
  • The Hawks have shot at a 44.8% clip from the field this season, 1.9 percentage points less than the 46.7% shooting opponents of the Mavericks have averaged.
  • Atlanta has put together a 5-4 record against the spread and a 4-5 straight up record in games it shoots better than 46.7% from the field.
  • When Dallas’ opponents shoot higher than 44.8% from the field, it is 8-1 against the spread and 7-2 overall.
  • The Mavericks’ 33.8% three-point shooting percentage this season is only 1.1 percentage points higher than opponents of the Hawks have shot from beyond the arc (32.7%).
  • Dallas has a 6-6 record against the spread and a 7-5 record overall when the team makes more than 32.7% of its three-point attempts.
  • Atlanta is 8-7 against the spread and 9-6 overall when its opponents shoot better than 33.8% from deep.
  • The Hawks shoot 35.8% from beyond the arc this season. That’s -1.2 percentage points higher than the Mavericks have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (37%).
  • Atlanta has a 10-2 ATS record and is 9-3 straight-up when the team hits more than 37% of its three-point attempts.
  • Dallas has a 6-2 ATS record and a 6-2 straight-up record this season when it knocks down more than 35.8% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Mavericks knock down 12.5 three-pointers per game this season, the same number per game the Hawks give up.
  • The Mavericks are the 18th-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Hawks give up the fourth-fewest makes from deep.

Mavericks vs Hawks Stat Rankings

Mavericks Rank Mavericks AVG Hawks AVG Hawks Rank
17th 111.2 Points Scored 112.6 15th
23rd 113.6 Points Allowed 111.1 12th
29th 43.1 Rebounds 47.1 4th
23rd 8.9 Off. Rebounds 11.3 4th
18th 12.5 3pt Made 12.5 16th
25th 22.9 Assists 24.5 16th
3rd 11.9 Turnovers 14.1 22nd

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