The Kentucky Wildcats (5-12) are 2.5-point favorites as they try to break a three-game losing streak when they host the Arkansas Razorbacks (14-5) on Tuesday, February 9, 2021 at Rupp Arena. The game airs at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN. The over/under is 142.5 for the matchup.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 9, 2021, 2:18 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The model line is much more favorable to the Razorbacks compared to the DraftKings line, a 3.8 point difference, and has them favored to win Tuesday’s game outright. Put your money on the Razorbacks.
The DraftKings point total for this game is just 2.2 points lower than the model projection.
Prediction: Arkansas 73, Kentucky 72
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Wildcats’ average implied point total this season is 0.2 more points than their implied total in Tuesday’s game (73.2 implied points on average compared to 73 implied points in this game).
- Kentucky is attempting to surpass its implied point total for this matchup (73) for the fifth time this season.
- The 81.3-point average implied total on the season for the Razorbacks is 11.3 more points than the team’s 70-point implied total in this matchup.
- Arkansas will attempt to outscore its implied point total for this matchup (70) for the 15th time this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Kentucky and Arkansas Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 2.5+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- The Wildcats make 41.8% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.1 percentage points higher than the Razorbacks have allowed to their opponents (41.7%).
- Kentucky has a 3-5 record against the spread and a 4-4 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 41.7% from the field.
- Arkansas has gone 4-2 against the spread and 7-0 overall in games it allows its opponents to shoot higher than 41.8% from the field.
- The Razorbacks’ 45.1% shooting percentage from the field this season is 4.4 percentage points higher than the Wildcats have allowed to their opponents (40.7%).
- Arkansas has put together a 12-2 straight up record and a 10-3 record against the spread in games it shoots over 40.7% from the field.
- This season, Kentucky has a 4-9-1 record against the spread and a 5-9 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot above 45.1% from the field.
- The Wildcats shoot 29.7% from three-point range, 0.7% lower than the 30.4% the Razorbacks allow to opponents.
- Kentucky is 4-3 overall and 3-4 against the spread when it shoots better than 30.4% from distance.
- Arkansas is 8-2 against the spread and 9-2 overall when its opponents shoot better than 29.7% from deep.
- The Razorbacks are making 33.6% of their shots from beyond the arc, which is 3.2 percentage points higher than the 30.4% the Wildcats’ are averaging on the season.
- Arkansas has a 9-2 ATS record and is 10-2 straight-up in games when the team hits more than 30.4% of its three-point attempts.
- Kentucky has a 3-8-1 ATS record and a 3-9 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 33.6% from downtown.
- The Wildcats make 5.1 three-pointers per game this season, three fewer makes per game than the Razorbacks allow (8.1).
- When Arkansas makes more threes than its opponents, it is 9-2 against the spread and 9-3 overall. When Kentucky is out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it is 1-9-1 ATS and 2-9 straight up.
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