The Kansas State Wildcats (5-14) will look to stop a 10-game losing streak when they host the No. 13 Texas Longhorns (11-5) at 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, February 9, 2021 as 15-point underdogs. The Longhorns have lost three games in a row. The matchup has an over/under of 134.5 points.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 9, 2021, 2:18 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The spread for this game suggested by the model (13.1 points) is slightly less than the 15-point edge DraftKings gives to the Longhorns, though the data still has them as the favorite.
In this matchup, the model projects a total (139.3 points) a little higher than the DraftKings over/under (134.5 points).
Prediction: Texas 76, Kansas State 63
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The average implied total for the Longhorns this season is 73.6 points, 1.4 fewer points than their implied total of 75 points in Tuesday’s game.
- Texas is aiming to surpass its implied point total for this matchup (75) for the ninth time this season.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Wildcats (72.2) is 12.2 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (60).
- Kansas State has scored more than 60 points 12 times this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Texas and Kansas State Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 15+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- This season, the Longhorns have a 43.9% shooting percentage from the field, which is 3.4% lower than the 47.3% of shots the Wildcats’ have made.
- In games Texas shoots better than 47.3% from the field, it is 4-1 overall and 2-3 against the spread.
- Kansas State’s record is 1-4 against the spread and 3-2 overall when it allows its opponents to hit more than 43.9% of their shots from the field.
- The Wildcats are shooting 41.7% from the field, -1.7% lower than the 40% the Longhorns’ opponents have shot this season.
- This season, Kansas State has a 5-6 record against the spread and a 4-7 record overall in games the team collectively shoots better than 40% from the field.
- This season, Texas has a 7-2 straight up record and a 6-3 record against the spread when it allows opponents to shoot higher than 41.7% from the field.
- The Longhorns’ 33.3% three-point shooting percentage this season is 5.3 percentage points lower than opponents of the Wildcats have shot from beyond the arc (38.6%).
- Texas is 3-2 overall and 3-2 against the spread when it shoots better than 38.6% from distance.
- Kansas State is 3-5 against the spread while putting together a 2-6 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 33.3% from three-point range.
- The Wildcats three-point shooting percentage this season (30.8%) is -0.1 percentage points lower than opponents of the Longhorns are averaging (30.7%).
- Kansas State is 4-4 ATS and 3-5 overall when hitting more than 30.7% of its three-point attempts.
- Texas has a 7-1 straight-up record and a 5-3 ATS record when it has shot better than 30.8% from three-point range.
- The Longhorns hit 8.9 three-pointers per game this season, 1.8 more made shots on average than the 7.1 per game the Wildcats give up.
- When Texas makes more threes than its opponents, it is 5-8 against the spread and 10-3 overall. When Kansas State is out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it is 3-7 ATS and 2-8 straight up.
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