The North Carolina Tar Heels (12-6) are heavily favored (by 10.5 points) to extend a six-game home winning streak when they host the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (7-11) on Monday, February 8, 2021 at 7:00 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under of 139.5 points.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 8, 2021, 2:18 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Tar Heels (-10.5)

The line for this game set by DraftKings and the model’s prediction are essentially the same (within 0.5 points of each other).

Pick OU:
Over (139.5)

The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 1.1 points lower than the model projection.

Prediction: North Carolina 76, Miami (FL) 65

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The Tar Heels have an average implied point total of 75.9 this season, which is 0.9 points higher than their implied total in Monday’s game (75).
  • North Carolina is trying to outscore its implied point total for this matchup (75) for the 11th time this season.
  • The Hurricanes’ average implied point total on the season (72.3 points) is 7.3 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (65 points).
  • Miami (FL) has scored more than 65 points in nine games this season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

North Carolina and Miami (FL) Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 10.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Tar Heels 7-10-1 2-2 7-11
Hurricanes 8-9 0-3 7-10

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Betting Tips – Shooting Stats

  • The Tar Heels are shooting 43.8% from the field this season, 0.3 percentage points higher than the 43.5% the Hurricanes allow to opponents.
  • North Carolina is 3-5-1 against the spread and 6-3 overall in games when it shoots better than 43.5% from the field.
  • Miami (FL)’s record is 5-3 overall and 3-4 against the spread when its opponents make more than 43.8% of their shots from the field.
  • The Hurricanes are shooting 43.2% from the field, the same as the Tar Heels’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Miami (FL) has compiled a 5-2 record against the spread and a 5-3 record overall in games when it shoots better than 43.2% from the field.
  • North Carolina is 4-4-1 against the spread and 7-2 overall in games its opponents shoot higher than 43.2% from the field.
  • The Tar Heels are making 31.4% of their three-point shots this season, 5.7% lower than the 37.1% the Hurricanes allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • North Carolina has a 1-4 record against the spread and a 2-3 record overall when the team knocks down more than 37.1% of its shots from three-point range.
  • Miami (FL) has a 3-1 record against the spread while going 4-0 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 31.4% from downtown.
  • The Hurricanes three-point shooting percentage this season (29.4%) is 6.8 percentage points lower than opponents of the Tar Heels are averaging (36.2%).
  • Miami (FL) is 5-2 against the spread and 3-4 overall when shooting above 36.2% as a team from three-point range.
  • North Carolina is 2-1-1 ATS and 4-0 overall in games it shoots over 29.4% from deep.
  • The Hurricanes are 3-1 against the spread and 2-2 overall when they make more threes than their opponents, while the Tar Heels are 6-8-1 ATS and 10-5 straight up in games when they are out-shot from the three-point line.

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