Mavericks vs Timberwolves: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – February 8, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on February 8, 2021 - Last Updated on February 12, 2021

Luka Doncic leads the Dallas Mavericks (10-14) into a matchup with the Minnesota Timberwolves (6-17) after scoring 42 points in a 134-132 win over the Warriors. The Timberwolves are 9-point underdogs in the game on Monday, February 8, 2021, which starts at 8:30 PM ET on FS-SW. The over/under is 222.5 in the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of February 8, 2021, 1:07 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of February 8

Mavericks:
James Johnson: Day To Day (Knee)

Timberwolves:
Karl-Anthony Towns: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols),
Jarrett Culver: Out (Left Ankle),
Juancho Hernangomez: Day To Day (Conditioning),
D’Angelo Russell: Day To Day (Right Quad)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Mavericks (-9)
Total Pick Over (222.5)
Prediction Mavericks 116, Timberwolves 106

The model projects the Mavericks to win, just as FanDuel does, but the model favors them by a small margin more (9.9 to 9).

FanDuel and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this game, within 0.4 points of each other.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 23 27.9 8.7 9.5 1.0 0.7 2.3
Kristaps Porzingis 13 19.5 8.3 1.3 0.3 1.5 1.9
Tim Hardaway Jr. 23 17.0 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.2 3.1
Josh Richardson 15 12.8 2.9 1.9 1.0 0.3 1.7
Jalen Brunson 20 11.6 3.1 3.4 0.4 0.0 1.1

Mavericks Player Props

  • Doncic’s assists prop over/under for the game is listed at 8.5 assists, 1.0 lower than his season average of 9.5.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr.’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 3.5, 0.4 shots greater than his season average of 3.1.
  • Kristaps Porzingis’ blocks prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, equal to his season average of 1.5.

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Malik Beasley 23 20.1 5.0 2.3 0.7 0.2 3.0
D’Angelo Russell 19 19.9 2.7 5.3 1.1 0.5 3.0
Anthony Edwards 23 13.7 3.3 2.1 0.7 0.3 1.8
Naz Reid 21 12.9 5.2 1.2 0.7 1.3 1.1
Jaylen Nowell 9 10.8 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 1.4

Timberwolves Player Props

  • Malik Beasley’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 26.5, 1.0 less than his season average of 27.5.
  • Jarred Vanderbilt’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 7.5, 6.9 less than his season average of 14.4.
  • D’Angelo Russell’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 3.5, 0.5 shots higher than his season average of 3.0.
  • Naz Reid’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.2 blocks higher than his season average of 1.3.

Shooting Trends

  • The Mavericks are shooting 45.6% from the field this season, 1.8 percentage points lower than the 47.4% the Timberwolves allow to opponents.
  • Dallas is 6-3 against the spread and 6-3 overall when it shoots higher than 47.4% from the field.
  • Minnesota has a 6-1 record against the spread and a 2-5 record overall when allowing its opponents to hit more than 45.6% of their shots from the field.
  • The Timberwolves’ 43.8% shooting percentage from the field this season is three percentage points lower than the Mavericks have given up to their opponents (46.8%).
  • Minnesota is 1-2-1 against the spread and 0-4 overall when it shoots higher than 46.8% from the field.
  • Dallas is 5-1 against the spread and 5-1 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot higher than 43.8% from the field.
  • The Mavericks are hitting 33.8% of their three-point shots this season, 3.6% lower than the 37.4% the Timberwolves allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Dallas is 3-3 against the spread and 4-2 overall when it shoots better than 37.4% from distance.
  • Minnesota is 9-1 against the spread while putting up a 5-5 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 33.8% from beyond the arc.
  • The Timberwolves are making 34.3% of their shots from three-point range, which is 2.5 percentage points fewer than the 36.8% the Mavericks’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Minnesota has a 6-2 ATS record and is 3-5 straight-up when the team makes more than 36.8% of its three-point attempts.
  • Dallas has a 6-1 ATS record and a 6-1 straight-up record this season when it knocks down more than 34.3% of its three-point shots.
  • The Mavericks’ 12.5 made three-pointers per game this season are only 0.6 more made shots on average than the 11.9 per game the Timberwolves allow.
  • When Dallas makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 7-2 against the spread and 8-1 overall. When Minnesota is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 0-8 ATS and 0-8 straight up.
  • The Timberwolves make the 22nd-most three-pointers in the league, while the Mavericks give up the 19th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Mavericks Rank Mavericks AVG Timberwolves AVG Timberwolves Rank
20th 110.6 Points Scored 106.9 27th
21st 113.3 Points Allowed 115 25th
29th 42.9 Rebounds 43.7 24th
23rd 8.8 Off. Rebounds 11 9th
17th 12.5 3pt Made 11.9 22nd
26th 22.6 Assists 24 18th
3rd 11.8 Turnovers 13.8 17th

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