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The Minnesota Timberwolves (6-16) hit the road in Northwest Division action against the Oklahoma City Thunder (9-12) on Saturday, February 6, 2021 at 8:00 PM ET. The Timberwolves are 1-point favorites in the game, the second matchup between the squads this season. The matchup has an over/under of 218.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of February 6, 2021, 7:07 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Timberwolves vs Thunder Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of February 6

Timberwolves:
Karl-Anthony Towns: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Juancho Hernangomez: Day To Day (Health Protocols),
D’Angelo Russell: Day To Day (Right Quad),
Jarrett Culver: Out (Left Ankle),
Naz Reid: Day To Day (Right Wrist)

Thunder:
Trevor Ariza: Out (Personal),
Luguentz Dort: Out (Knee),
Theo Maledon: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Out (Knee),
George Hill: Out (Thumb)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Thunder (+1)
Total Pick Over (218.5)
Prediction Thunder 114, Timberwolves 107

The model line is much more favorable to the Thunder compared to the DraftKings line, a 8.4 point difference, and has them favored to win Saturday’s game outright. Put your money on the Thunder.

In this matchup, the model projects a total (221.4 points) a little higher than the DraftKings over/under (218.5 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Malik Beasley 22 20.3 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.2 3.0
D’Angelo Russell 19 19.9 2.7 5.3 1.1 0.5 3.0
Anthony Edwards 22 13.4 3.1 2.0 0.7 0.2 1.8
Naz Reid 20 12.1 5.2 1.3 0.6 1.4 1.2
Jaylen Nowell 8 10.3 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 1.3

Timberwolves Player Props

  • Malik Beasley’s points prop total for the game is set at 16.5, 3.8 points less than his season average of 20.3.
  • Ricky Rubio’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 21.5, 6.3 higher than his season average of 15.2.
  • D’Angelo Russell’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 3.5, 0.5 shots higher than his season average of 3.0.
  • Naz Reid’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 0.5, 0.9 blocks lower than his season average of 1.4.

Thunder Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 19 21.8 5.3 6.3 0.9 0.7 1.7
Al Horford 14 13.7 7.1 3.0 0.9 0.9 2.3
Hamidou Diallo 21 12.1 4.6 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.3
Luguentz Dort 20 11.8 3.2 1.3 0.8 0.3 2.1
George Hill 14 11.8 2.1 3.1 0.9 0.1 1.6

Thunder Player Props

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s assists prop over/under for the contest is posted at 4.5 assists, 1.8 assists less than his season average of 6.3.
  • Darius Bazley’s rebounding prop over/under for the game is set at 7.5 rebounds, 0.1 rebounds greater than his season average of 7.4.
  • Al Horford’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots greater than his season average of 2.3.
  • Theo Maledon’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.5 steals greater than his season average of 1.0.

Shooting Trends

  • The Timberwolves make 43.5% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.5 percentage points lower than the Thunder have allowed to their opponents (46%).
  • Minnesota has a 1-2-1 record against the spread and a 0-4 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 46% from the field.
  • Oklahoma City has a 5-1 record against the spread and a 5-1 record overall when allowing its opponents to knock down more than 43.5% of their shots from the field.
  • The Thunder have shot at a 45.1% clip from the field this season, 2.1 percentage points below the 47.2% shooting opponents of the Timberwolves have averaged.
  • Oklahoma City is 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall when it shoots higher than 47.2% from the field.
  • This season, Minnesota has a 5-1-1 record against the spread and a 2-5 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot higher than 45.1% from the field.
  • The Timberwolves’ 34.3% three-point shooting percentage this season is only 1.9 percentage points lower than opponents of the Thunder have shot from beyond the arc (36.2%).
  • Minnesota is 4-2-2 against the spread and 3-5 overall when it shoots better than 36.2% from distance.
  • Oklahoma City is 7-4 against the spread while putting together a 6-5 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 34.3% from three-point range.
  • The Thunder’s three-point shooting percentage this season (34.2%) is 3.2 percentage points lower than opponents of the Timberwolves are averaging (37.4%).
  • Oklahoma City has a 5-2-1 ATS record and is 4-4 straight-up when the team makes more than 37.4% of its three-point attempts.
  • Minnesota is 9-1 ATS and 5-5 overall in games it shoots above 34.2% from deep.
  • The Timberwolves hit 11.9 three-pointers per game this season, 1.2 fewer made shots on average than the 13.1 per game the Thunder allow.
  • Oklahoma City has gone 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Minnesota makes fewer threes than its opponents, it is 0-8 ATS and 0-8 straight up.
  • The Timberwolves make the 22nd-most three-pointers in the league, while the Thunder give up the 23rd-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Timberwolves vs Thunder Stat Rankings

Timberwolves Rank Timberwolves AVG Thunder AVG Thunder Rank
27th 106.4 Points Scored 106.9 26th
25th 114.8 Points Allowed 113.7 24th
23rd 43.8 Rebounds 44.2 13th
8th 11 Off. Rebounds 7.2 29th
22nd 11.9 3pt Made 13.1 13th
19th 23.8 Assists 22.5 27th
16th 13.8 Turnovers 14 19th

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