The Minnesota Timberwolves (6-16) hit the road in Northwest Division action against the Oklahoma City Thunder (9-12) on Saturday, February 6, 2021 at 8:00 PM ET. The Timberwolves are 1-point favorites in the game, the second matchup between the squads this season. The matchup has an over/under of 218.5.
The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of February 6, 2021, 7:07 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.
Timberwolves vs Thunder Betting Odds
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Injury Report as of February 6
Timberwolves:
Karl-Anthony Towns: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Juancho Hernangomez: Day To Day (Health Protocols),
D’Angelo Russell: Day To Day (Right Quad),
Jarrett Culver: Out (Left Ankle),
Naz Reid: Day To Day (Right Wrist)
Thunder:
Trevor Ariza: Out (Personal),
Luguentz Dort: Out (Knee),
Theo Maledon: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Out (Knee),
George Hill: Out (Thumb)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Thunder (+1) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (218.5) |
| Prediction | Thunder 114, Timberwolves 107 |
The model line is much more favorable to the Thunder compared to the DraftKings line, a 8.4 point difference, and has them favored to win Saturday’s game outright. Put your money on the Thunder.
In this matchup, the model projects a total (221.4 points) a little higher than the DraftKings over/under (218.5 points).
Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.
Timberwolves Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Beasley | 22 | 20.3 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 3.0 |
| D’Angelo Russell | 19 | 19.9 | 2.7 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 3.0 |
| Anthony Edwards | 22 | 13.4 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Naz Reid | 20 | 12.1 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Jaylen Nowell | 8 | 10.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 |
Timberwolves Player Props
- Malik Beasley’s points prop total for the game is set at 16.5, 3.8 points less than his season average of 20.3.
- Ricky Rubio’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 21.5, 6.3 higher than his season average of 15.2.
- D’Angelo Russell’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 3.5, 0.5 shots higher than his season average of 3.0.
- Naz Reid’s blocks prop total for the contest is set at 0.5, 0.9 blocks lower than his season average of 1.4.
Thunder Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 19 | 21.8 | 5.3 | 6.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Al Horford | 14 | 13.7 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.3 |
| Hamidou Diallo | 21 | 12.1 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Luguentz Dort | 20 | 11.8 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.1 |
| George Hill | 14 | 11.8 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 |
Thunder Player Props
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s assists prop over/under for the contest is posted at 4.5 assists, 1.8 assists less than his season average of 6.3.
- Darius Bazley’s rebounding prop over/under for the game is set at 7.5 rebounds, 0.1 rebounds greater than his season average of 7.4.
- Al Horford’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots greater than his season average of 2.3.
- Theo Maledon’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.5 steals greater than his season average of 1.0.
Shooting Trends
- The Timberwolves make 43.5% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.5 percentage points lower than the Thunder have allowed to their opponents (46%).
- Minnesota has a 1-2-1 record against the spread and a 0-4 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 46% from the field.
- Oklahoma City has a 5-1 record against the spread and a 5-1 record overall when allowing its opponents to knock down more than 43.5% of their shots from the field.
- The Thunder have shot at a 45.1% clip from the field this season, 2.1 percentage points below the 47.2% shooting opponents of the Timberwolves have averaged.
- Oklahoma City is 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall when it shoots higher than 47.2% from the field.
- This season, Minnesota has a 5-1-1 record against the spread and a 2-5 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot higher than 45.1% from the field.
- The Timberwolves’ 34.3% three-point shooting percentage this season is only 1.9 percentage points lower than opponents of the Thunder have shot from beyond the arc (36.2%).
- Minnesota is 4-2-2 against the spread and 3-5 overall when it shoots better than 36.2% from distance.
- Oklahoma City is 7-4 against the spread while putting together a 6-5 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 34.3% from three-point range.
- The Thunder’s three-point shooting percentage this season (34.2%) is 3.2 percentage points lower than opponents of the Timberwolves are averaging (37.4%).
- Oklahoma City has a 5-2-1 ATS record and is 4-4 straight-up when the team makes more than 37.4% of its three-point attempts.
- Minnesota is 9-1 ATS and 5-5 overall in games it shoots above 34.2% from deep.
- The Timberwolves hit 11.9 three-pointers per game this season, 1.2 fewer made shots on average than the 13.1 per game the Thunder allow.
- Oklahoma City has gone 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Minnesota makes fewer threes than its opponents, it is 0-8 ATS and 0-8 straight up.
- The Timberwolves make the 22nd-most three-pointers in the league, while the Thunder give up the 23rd-fewest makes from beyond the arc.
Timberwolves vs Thunder Stat Rankings
| Timberwolves Rank | Timberwolves AVG | Thunder AVG | Thunder Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27th | 106.4 | Points Scored | 106.9 | 26th |
| 25th | 114.8 | Points Allowed | 113.7 | 24th |
| 23rd | 43.8 | Rebounds | 44.2 | 13th |
| 8th | 11 | Off. Rebounds | 7.2 | 29th |
| 22nd | 11.9 | 3pt Made | 13.1 | 13th |
| 19th | 23.8 | Assists | 22.5 | 27th |
| 16th | 13.8 | Turnovers | 14 | 19th |
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