The No. 18 Missouri Tigers (12-3) host the No. 10 Alabama Crimson Tide (15-4) after winning three home games in a row. The Crimson Tide are favored by only 2 points in the matchup, which begins at 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 6, 2021. The matchup has an over/under of 152 points.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 6, 2021, 2:15 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Crimson Tide (-2)
The model projects the Crimson Tide to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by slightly more points (3.3 to 2).
The model predicts a total 4.8 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
Prediction: Alabama 75, Missouri 72
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Crimson Tide have an average implied point total of 79.6 this season, which is 2.6 points higher than their implied total in Saturday’s game (77).
- Alabama has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (77) 13 times.
- The Tigers’ average implied point total on the season (73.1 points) is 1.9 points lower than their implied total in this matchup (75 points).
- Missouri has scored more than 75 points eight times this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Alabama and Missouri Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 2+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- This season, the Crimson Tide have a 43.7% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.3% higher than the 41.4% of shots the Tigers’ opponents have knocked down.
- Alabama has a 12-0 straight-up record and a 9-2 record against the spread in games it shoots better than 41.4% from the field.
- Missouri is 6-3 against the spread and 8-1 overall when allowing opponents to shoot better than 43.7% from the field.
- The Tigers have shot at a 45.4% clip from the field this season, 5.7 percentage points above the 39.7% shooting opponents of the Crimson Tide have averaged.
- This season, Missouri has a 10-1 record overall and an 8-3 record against the spread in games the team collectively shoots higher than 39.7% from the field.
- This season, Alabama has a 12-2 straight up record and a 10-3 record against the spread when it allows opponents to shoot higher than 45.4% from the field.
- The Crimson Tide are hitting 35.6% of their three-point shots this season, 5.2% higher than the 30.4% the Tigers allow opponents to shoot from deep.
- Alabama has put together an 8-3-1 record against the spread and a 12-1 straight-up record in games this season when knocking down more than 30.4% of its three-point attempts.
- Missouri is 9-1 overall and 7-3 against the spread when its opponents shoot higher than 35.6% from deep.
- The Tigers are making 31% of their shots from beyond the arc, which is just 0.6 percentage points greater than the 30.4% the Crimson Tide’s opponents are averaging on the season.
- Missouri has a 4-2 ATS record and has gone 6-0 straight-up when hitting more than 30.4% of its three-point attempts.
- Alabama has a 10-2 straight-up record and a 7-3-1 ATS record when it has shot better than 31% from three-point distance.
- The Crimson Tide hit 10.6 three-pointers per game this season, 4.2 more made shots on average than the 6.4 per game the Tigers give up.
- Alabama is 8-3-1 against the spread and 11-2 overall when it makes more three-pointers than its opponents, while Missouri is 4-2 ATS and 5-1 straight up in games when it is out-shot from distance.
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