The Illinois State Redbirds (5-10) will look to stop a four-game losing streak when they host the Missouri State Bears (7-4) at 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 6, 2021 as 6.5-point underdogs. The Bears have also lost four games in a row. The matchup has an over/under of 144.5 points.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 6, 2021, 2:17 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Computer Picks
Pick ATS:
Redbirds (+6.5)
The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (4.4 points) is a little bit less than the 6.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Bears, though the data still has them as the favorite.
Pick OU:
Under (144.5)
The model predicts a total 1.4 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
Prediction: Missouri State 74, Illinois State 69
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The average implied total for the Bears this season is 74.3 points, 1.7 fewer points than their implied total of 76 points in Saturday’s game.
- Missouri State has scored more than its implied point total for this matchup (76) five times this season.
- The Redbirds’ average implied point total on the season (75.1 points) is 6.1 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (69 points).
- Illinois State has scored more than this game’s implied total of 69 points six times this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Missouri State and Illinois State Records ATS
| ATS Record | ATS Record Against 6.5+ Point Spread | Over/Under Record (O-U-P) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | 4-4-1 | 1-0 | 5-4 |
| Redbirds | 6-8 | 1-0 | 8-6 |
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Last 5 Games
| Missouri State | Illinois State | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score | Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
| 2/1/2021 | Loyola Chicago | Loss | 70-50 | 2/1/2021 | Drake | Loss | 95-60 |
| 1/31/2021 | Loyola Chicago | Loss | 72-46 | 1/31/2021 | Drake | Loss | 78-76 |
| 1/27/2021 | Drake | Loss | 78-73 | 1/24/2021 | Valparaiso | Loss | 70-66 |
| 1/26/2021 | Drake | Loss | 68-61 | 1/23/2021 | Valparaiso | Loss | 69-60 |
| 1/17/2021 | Missouri S&T | Win | 94-49 | 1/20/2021 | Bradley | Win | 71-56 |
Powered By Data Skrive using data from 
