The Kansas State Wildcats (5-13) will attempt to stop a nine-game losing streak when they host the No. 13 Texas Tech Red Raiders (13-5) on Saturday, February 6, 2021 at Bramlage Coliseum as big, 16.5-point underdogs. The game airs at 4:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s over/under is set at 130.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 6, 2021, 2:17 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The model favors the Red Raiders by 13.3 points, a much smaller margin than the 16.5-point spread set by DraftKings. Take the Wildcats to cover.
The model projects a total 5.8 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
Prediction: Texas Tech 75, Kansas State 61
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Red Raiders’ average implied point total this season is 1.1 more points than their implied total in Saturday’s game (74.1 implied points on average compared to 73 implied points in this game).
- Texas Tech has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (73) 12 times this season.
- The Wildcats’ average implied point total on the season (72.1 points) is 15.1 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (57 points).
- Kansas State has totaled more than 57 points 14 times this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Texas Tech and Kansas State Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 16.5+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- The Red Raiders are shooting 43.4% from the field this season, four percentage points lower than the 47.4% the Wildcats allow to opponents.
- Texas Tech has a 3-1 record against the spread and a 5-0 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 47.4% from the field.
- Kansas State is 3-2 overall and 1-4 against the spread when allowing opponents to shoot better than 43.4% from the field.
- The Wildcats’ 41.5% shooting percentage from the field this season is -1.4 percentage points lower than the Red Raiders have allowed to their opponents (40.1%).
- This season, Kansas State has a 4-6 record against the spread and a 4-6 record overall in games the team collectively shoots over 40.1% from the field.
- Texas Tech is 4-6 against the spread and 9-2 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot above 41.5% from the field.
- The Red Raiders shoot 33.2% from three-point range, 4.9% lower than the 38.1% the Wildcats allow to opponents.
- Texas Tech has put together a 4-1 record against the spread and a 5-1 straight-up record in games this season when the team connects on more than 38.1% of its three-point shots.
- Kansas State is 2-4 against the spread while putting up a 1-5 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 33.2% from downtown.
- The Wildcats are knocking down 30.1% of their shots from beyond the arc, which is 4.3 percentage points fewer than the 34.4% the Red Raiders’ are averaging on the season.
- Kansas State is 3-3 overall and 2-4 against the spread when it shoots above 34.4% as a team from three-point distance.
- Texas Tech is 6-0 overall and 3-2 ATS in games it shoots over 30.1% from deep.
- Kansas State has gone 2-4 against the spread and 1-5 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Texas Tech makes fewer three-pointers than its opponents, it is 2-8 ATS and 7-3 straight up.
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