The Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-8) will attempt to end a five-game losing streak when they visit the Michigan State Spartans (8-7) at 6:30 PM ET on Saturday, February 6, 2021 as 11.5-point underdogs. The Spartans have lost four games in a row. The over/under is 145 for the matchup.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 6, 2021, 2:18 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Cornhuskers (+11.5)

The Spartans are favored by both DraftKings and the model, but the model has them winning by significantly less (11.5 to 5.1 points). Take the Cornhuskers and the points.

Pick OU:
Over (145)

The model’s predicted total (146.0 points) and the DraftKings set total (145 points) are virtually the same for this contest.

Prediction: Michigan State 76, Nebraska 70

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The average implied total for the Spartans this season is 78 points, the same as their implied total for Saturday’s game.
  • Michigan State has scored more than its implied point total in this matchup (78) seven times this season.
  • The Cornhuskers’ average implied point total on the season (79.1 points) is 12.1 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (67 points).
  • Nebraska has scored more than 67 points eight times this season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Michigan State and Nebraska Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 11.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Spartans 3-9 0-3 6-6
Cornhuskers 4-7 1-1 4-7

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Betting Tips – Shooting Stats

  • This season, the Spartans have a 42.7% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.1% higher than the 42.6% of shots the Cornhuskers’ opponents have hit.
  • Michigan State is 2-5 against the spread and 8-1 overall when it shoots higher than 42.6% from the field.
  • Nebraska’s record is 3-1 against the spread and 4-1 overall when its opponents make more than 42.7% of their shots from the field.
  • The Cornhuskers are shooting 41.9% from the field, 0.8% lower than the 42.7% the Spartans’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Nebraska has a 3-2 record against the spread and a 3-3 record overall in games when it shoots better than 42.7% from the field.
  • Michigan State is 2-3 against the spread and 6-1 overall in games its opponents shoot above 41.9% from the field.
  • The Spartans are knocking down 33.4% of their three-point shots this season, 0.8% higher than the 32.6% the Cornhuskers allow opponents to shoot from deep.
  • Michigan State is 1-4 against the spread and 5-2 overall when it shoots better than 32.6% from distance.
  • Nebraska is 4-3 against the spread and 4-4 overall when its opponents hit more than 33.4% of their shots from deep.
  • The Cornhuskers shoot 32.2% from beyond the arc this season. That’s just 0.2 percentage points lower than the Spartans have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (32.4%).
  • Nebraska’s record is 2-4 ATS and 2-5 overall when the team makes more than 32.4% of its three-point attempts.
  • Michigan State has a 2-3 ATS record and a 4-4 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 32.2% from three-point distance.
  • The Spartans knock down 7.6 three-pointers per game this season, 1.2 fewer made shots on average than the 8.8 per game the Cornhuskers allow.
  • When Nebraska makes more threes than its opponents, it is 3-1 against the spread and 2-2 overall. When Michigan State is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 1-4 ATS and 3-3 straight up.

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