SEC opponents meet when the No. 11 Tennessee Volunteers (12-4) visit the Kentucky Wildcats (5-11) at Rupp Arena, starting at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 6, 2021. The Wildcats are 3.5-point underdogs in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season. The matchup has an over/under of 125.5 points.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 6, 2021, 2:18 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The model and DraftKings both have the Volunteers taking home the win, but the model has them winning by slightly less (2.9 points). Lean towards taking the Wildcats.
The model projects a total (133.5 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (125.5 points). Take the over.
Prediction: Tennessee 68, Kentucky 65
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Volunteers’ average implied point total this season is 9.1 more points than their implied total in Saturday’s game (74.1 implied points on average compared to 65 implied points in this game).
- Tennessee has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (65) 10 times.
- The Wildcats’ average implied point total on the season (73.8 points) is 12.8 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (61 points).
- Kentucky has totaled more than 61 points 13 times this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Tennessee and Kentucky Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 3.5+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- The Volunteers are shooting 44.7% from the field this season, 4.4 percentage points higher than the 40.3% the Wildcats allow to opponents.
- Tennessee is 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall when it shoots higher than 40.3% from the field.
- Kentucky is 4-9-1 against the spread and 5-9 overall when allowing opponents to shoot better than 44.7% from the field.
- The Wildcats are shooting 42% from the field, 2.6% higher than the 39.4% the Volunteers’ opponents have shot this season.
- Kentucky has put together a 5-6 straight up record and a 4-7 record against the spread in games it shoots over 39.4% from the field.
- Tennessee is 9-3 against the spread and 10-2 overall in games its opponents shoot greater than 42% from the field.
- The Volunteers are hitting 34.5% of their three-point shots this season, 3.8% higher than the 30.7% the Wildcats allow opponents to shoot from deep.
- Tennessee has put together a 9-2 straight-up record and an 8-3 record against the spread in games when the team makes more than 30.7% of its three-point shots this season.
- Kentucky has gone 3-8 overall and has a 3-7-1 record against the spread in games this season when its opponents shoot better than 34.5% from downtown.
- The Wildcats’ three-point shooting percentage this season (30.1%) is only 0.1 percentage points lower than opponents of the Volunteers are averaging (30.2%).
- Kentucky’s record is 3-4 ATS and 4-3 overall when the team hits more than 30.2% of its three-point attempts.
- Tennessee has a 9-1 straight-up record and an 8-2 ATS record when it has shot better than 30.1% from three-point range.
- The Volunteers make 6.2 three-pointers per game this season, just one more made shot on average than the 5.2 per game the Wildcats give up.
- When Tennessee makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 7-2 against the spread and 7-2 overall. When Kentucky is out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it is 1-8-1 ATS and 2-8 straight up.
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