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Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors (12-10) are underdogs against Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (9-14) Saturday, February 6, 2021 at American Airlines Center. The matchup starts at 8:30 PM ET on ABC. The matchup has an over/under set at points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of February 5, 2021, 10:55 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Mavericks vs Warriors Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of February 6

Mavericks: None

Warriors:
Eric Paschall: Day To Day (Knee),
James Wiseman: Out (Wrist),
Klay Thompson: Out For Season (Right Achilles),
Kevon Looney: Out (Ankle),
Marquese Chriss: Out For Season (Leg)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Warriors (+4)
Total Pick Under (231)
Prediction Mavericks 113, Warriors 112

The model favors the Mavericks by 0.4 points, a much smaller margin than the 4-point spread set by William Hill. Take the Warriors to cover.

The model projects a total 6.5 points lower than the one set by William Hill for this matchup.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 22 27.2 8.8 9.4 1.0 0.7 2.0
Kristaps Porzingis 12 19.6 8.2 1.2 0.3 1.6 2.1
Tim Hardaway Jr. 22 17.2 3.7 1.7 0.7 0.2 3.2
Josh Richardson 14 12.5 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 1.5
Jalen Brunson 19 11.8 2.8 3.4 0.4 0.0 1.1

Mavericks Player Props

  • Doncic’s rebounding prop total for the matchup is posted at 9.5 boards, 0.7 rebounds higher than his season average of 8.8.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr.’s three pointers made prop over/under for the game is set at 3.5, 0.3 shots higher than his season average of 3.2.
  • Kristaps Porzingis’ blocks prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.1 blocks lower than his season average of 1.6.

Warriors Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Stephen Curry 22 28.2 5.5 6.1 1.2 0.1 4.5
Andrew Wiggins 22 17.7 4.7 2.2 0.5 1.4 2.0
Kelly Oubre Jr. 22 13.3 5.5 1.3 1.2 0.9 1.4
James Wiseman 20 12.2 6.1 0.7 0.4 1.3 0.5
Eric Paschall 20 10.0 2.9 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.5

Warriors Player Props

  • Curry’s points prop total for the game is set at 26.5, 1.7 points lower than his season average of 28.2.
  • James Wiseman’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 15.5, 3.4 lower than his season average of 18.9.
  • Curry’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 4.5, equal to his season average of 4.5.
  • Kelly Oubre Jr.’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.3 steals higher than his season average of 1.2.

Shooting Trends

  • The Mavericks make 45.6% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.5 percentage points higher than the Warriors have allowed to their opponents (44.1%).
  • In games Dallas shoots better than 44.1% from the field, it is 8-7 against the spread and 7-8 overall.
  • Golden State has a 9-4 record against the spread and a 9-4 record overall when allowing its opponents to make more than 45.6% of their shots from the field.
  • The Warriors are shooting 45.8% from the field, 0.7% lower than the 46.5% the Mavericks’ opponents have shot this season.
  • This season, Golden State has a 10-1 record against the spread and a 10-1 record overall in games the team collectively shoots above 46.5% from the field.
  • Dallas is 8-2 against the spread and 7-3 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot above 45.8% from the field.
  • The Mavericks shoot 33.2% from deep, 3.2% lower than the 36.4% the Warriors allow to opponents.
  • Dallas has assembled a 3-2 record against the spread and a 3-2 straight-up record in games this season when the team hits more than 36.4% of its three-point shots.
  • Golden State is 5-3 against the spread while putting up a 5-3 straight-up record when its opponents shoot above 33.2% from three-point range.
  • The Warriors shoot 36.9% from three-point distance this season. That’s just 0.6 percentage points higher than the Mavericks have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (36.3%).
  • Golden State is 9-3 ATS and 10-2 overall when the team makes more than 36.3% of its three-point attempts.
  • Dallas has a 7-4 ATS record and a 7-4 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 36.9% from three-point range.
  • The Mavericks make 12.1 three-pointers per game this season, 1.7 fewer makes per game than the Warriors give up (13.8).
  • When Golden State makes more threes than its opponents, it is 9-3 against the spread and 10-2 overall. When Dallas is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 3-12 ATS and 2-13 straight up.
  • The Warriors rank eighth in the NBA in made three-pointers, while the Mavericks allow the 16th-fewest made threes in the league.

Mavericks vs Warriors Stat Rankings

Mavericks Rank Mavericks AVG Warriors AVG Warriors Rank
23rd 109.6 Points Scored 113.7 10th
21st 112.5 Points Allowed 113.3 23rd
28th 42.7 Rebounds 43.8 21st
24th 8.6 Off. Rebounds 8.3 28th
21st 12.1 3pt Made 13.8 8th
28th 22.4 Assists 27.1 4th
3rd 11.7 Turnovers 14 20th

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