Sun Belt foes square off when the Texas State Bobcats (10-5) host the Little Rock Trojans (9-6) at Strahan Coliseum, starting at 5:00 PM ET on Friday, February 5, 2021. The Trojans are 3-point underdogs in the game, the third matchup between the teams this season. The point total for the matchup is 128.5.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 5, 2021, 2:15 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Trojans (+3)

The data strongly suggests betting on the Trojans in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Bobcats favored and the difference between the two is 3.4 points.

Pick OU:
Over (128.5)

The model predicts a total 6.7 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.

Prediction: Little Rock 68, Texas State 67

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The average implied total for the Bobcats this season is 70.1 points, 4.1 more points than their implied total of 66 points in Friday’s game.
  • Texas State has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (66) eight times.
  • The 74-point average implied total on the season for the Trojans is 11 more points than the team’s 63-point implied total in this matchup.
  • Little Rock has totaled more than 63 points in 12 games on the season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Texas State and Little Rock Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 3+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Bobcats 4-6-1 2-4-1 4-6-1
Trojans 4-9 1-5 5-8

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Last 5 Games

Texas State

Little Rock
Date Opponent Result Score Date Opponent Result Score
1/30/2021 Louisiana Loss 74-73 1/30/2021 UL Monroe Win 65-49
1/29/2021 Louisiana Loss 62-60 1/29/2021 UL Monroe Win 66-62
1/23/2021 UL Monroe Win 69-63 1/23/2021 UT Arlington Loss 66-61
1/22/2021 UL Monroe Win 57-47 1/22/2021 UT Arlington Win 66-59
1/16/2021 Little Rock Win 67-56 1/16/2021 Texas State Loss 67-56

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