The Nevada Wolf Pack (8-6) are 4.5-point underdogs as they try to continue a three-game home winning streak when they take on the Boise State Broncos (8-2) on Friday, February 5, 2021 at Lawlor Events Center. The matchup airs at 9:00 PM ET on FS1. The point total is 145 for the matchup.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 5, 2021, 2:16 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Broncos (-4.5)

The model projects the Broncos to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by slightly more points (5.8 to 4.5).

Pick OU:
Under (145)

In this matchup, the model projects a total (141.5 points) a little lower than the DraftKings over/under (145 points).

Prediction: Boise State 74, Nevada 68

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The Broncos’ average implied point total this season is 1.9 more points than their implied total in Friday’s game (76.9 implied points on average compared to 75 implied points in this game).
  • Boise State will try to outscore its implied point total for this matchup (75) for the fifth time this season.
  • The Wolf Pack’s average implied point total on the season (72.5 points) is 2.5 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (70 points).
  • Nevada has scored more than 70 points in eight games this season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Boise State and Nevada Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 4.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Broncos 7-3 4-2 4-6
Wolf Pack 9-5 5-2 9-5

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Last 5 Games

Boise State

Date Opponent Result Score Date Opponent Result Score
1/29/2021 Colorado State Win 85-77 2/2/2021 UNLV Win 72-62
1/27/2021 Colorado State Loss 78-56 1/31/2021 UNLV Win 89-60
1/20/2021 Fresno State Win 73-51 1/24/2021 Wyoming Loss 93-88
1/13/2021 Wyoming Win 90-70 1/22/2021 Wyoming Loss 71-64
1/11/2021 Wyoming Win 83-60 1/17/2021 Fresno State Win 79-65

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