The New Mexico State Aggies (3-2) host the Cal Baptist Lancers (8-4) in a matchup of WAC teams at Pan American Center, tipping off at 9:00 PM ET on Friday, February 5, 2021. The Lancers are 10.5-point underdogs in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season. The matchup’s over/under is set at 141.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 5, 2021, 2:16 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The data strongly suggests betting on the Lancers in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Aggies favored and the difference between the two is 11.7 points.
The model’s predicted total (141.3 points) and the DraftKings set total (141 points) are virtually the same for this contest.
Prediction: Cal Baptist 71, New Mexico State 70
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Aggies have an average implied point total of 68 this season, which is eight points lower than their implied total in Friday’s game (76).
- New Mexico State will try to outscore its implied point total for this matchup (76) for the second time this season.
- The Lancers’ average implied point total on the season (78.6 points) is 13.6 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (65 points).
- Cal Baptist has put up more than 65 points 12 times on the season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
New Mexico State and Cal Baptist Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 10.5+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Last 5 Games
|New Mexico State||Cal Baptist|
|1/30/2021||Grand Canyon||Loss||65-53||1/30/2021||Dixie State||Loss||79-75|
|1/29/2021||Grand Canyon||Loss||70-62||1/29/2021||Dixie State||Win||89-74|
|1/25/2021||Western New Mexico||Win||70-41||1/23/2021||Long Beach State||Win||96-75|
|12/1/2020||Benedictine at Mesa||Win||92-54||1/20/2021||San Diego Christian||Win||89-37|
|11/29/2020||Arizona Christian||Win||83-77||1/16/2021||Tarleton State||Win||73-67|
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