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The Milwaukee Bucks (13-8) visit the Cleveland Cavaliers (10-12) in a matchup of Central Division teams at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse, starting at 7:30 PM ET on Friday, February 5, 2021. The Cavaliers are underdogs in the game, the second matchup between the squads this season. The over/under for the matchup is set at .

The betting insights in this article reflect data from William Hill sportsbook as of February 4, 2021, 5:55 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Bucks vs Cavaliers Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of February 5

Bucks: None

Cavaliers:
Collin Sexton: Day To Day (Neck),
Larry Nance Jr.: Out (Wrist),
Kevin Love: Out (Calf),
Matthew Dellavedova: Out (Concussion)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Cavaliers (+10.5)
Total Pick Under (228)
Prediction Bucks 115, Cavaliers 108

The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (7.0 points) is much tighter than the 10.5-point edge William Hill gives to the Bucks, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Cavaliers to cover.

The model projects a total 5.2 points lower than the one set by William Hill for this game.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Bucks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Giannis Antetokounmpo 20 27.0 11.2 6.0 1.1 1.1 1.2
Khris Middleton 21 20.7 6.3 5.9 1.0 0.1 2.6
Jrue Holiday 21 16.2 5.0 5.2 2.0 0.6 1.9
Bobby Portis 21 11.5 7.5 1.2 0.9 0.5 1.1
Brook Lopez 21 10.7 5.0 0.7 0.5 1.5 1.8

Bucks Player Props

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo’s rebounding prop over/under for the contest is set at 13.5 rebounds, 2.3 rebounds greater than his season average of 11.2.
  • Khris Middleton’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 2.5, 0.1 shots less than his season average of 2.6.
  • Jrue Holiday’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.5 steals less than his season average of 2.0.

Cavaliers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Collin Sexton 17 24.3 2.5 4.1 1.0 0.2 1.6
Andre Drummond 20 18.2 14.7 2.7 1.6 1.4 0.0
Darius Garland 14 16.1 2.7 5.3 0.9 0.2 1.8
Cedi Osman 22 12.4 3.5 3.0 1.0 0.1 2.3
Jarrett Allen 21 11.8 9.3 1.6 0.5 1.8 0.0

Cavaliers Player Props

  • Collin Sexton’s points prop total for the contest is set at 20.5, 3.8 points lower than his season average of 24.3.
  • Darius Garland’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 19.5, 4.6 less than his season average of 24.1.
  • Cedi Osman’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.8 shots less than his season average of 2.3.
  • Larry Nance Jr.’s steals prop total for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.6 steals less than his season average of 2.1.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Bucks have a 49% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.4% higher than the 46.6% of shots the Cavaliers’ opponents have hit.
  • Milwaukee is 8-6 against the spread and 10-4 overall when it shoots higher than 46.6% from the field.
  • Cleveland’s record is 9-7 against the spread and 9-7 overall when its opponents make more than 49% of their shots from the field.
  • The Cavaliers have shot at a 45% clip from the field this season, the same as opponents of the Bucks have averaged.
  • This season, Cleveland has a 9-3 record against the spread and an 8-4 record overall in games the team collectively shoots over 45% from the field.
  • Milwaukee is 7-2 against the spread and 9-0 overall in games it allows opponents to shoot higher than 45% from the field.
  • The Bucks’ 40% three-point shooting percentage this season is just 0.7 percentage points higher than opponents of the Cavaliers have shot from deep (39.3%).
  • Milwaukee has assembled a 6-4 record against the spread and an 8-2 straight-up record in games this season when the team hits more than 39.3% of its three-point attempts.
  • Cleveland has put up a 9-5 against the spread while going 9-5 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot higher than 40% from deep.
  • The Cavaliers shoot 35.7% from three-point distance this season. That’s 3.3 percentage points lower than the Bucks have allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (39%).
  • Cleveland is 7-3 ATS and 6-4 overall when the team hits more than 39% of its three-point attempts.
  • Milwaukee has an 8-0 ATS record and an 8-0 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 35.7% from three-point range.
  • The Bucks make 15.8 three-pointers per game this season, 6.5 more makes per game than the Cavaliers give up (9.3).
  • When Milwaukee makes more threes than its opponents, it is 8-3 against the spread and 10-1 overall. When Cleveland is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 6-11 ATS and 6-11 straight up.
  • The Cavaliers make the fewest three-pointers in the league, while the Bucks give up the 28th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Bucks vs Cavaliers Stat Rankings

Bucks Rank Bucks AVG Cavaliers AVG Cavaliers Rank
2nd 121 Points Scored 103.7 29th
19th 112.2 Points Allowed 108.7 6th
2nd 48.8 Rebounds 44.3 10th
9th 10.9 Off. Rebounds 11.7 1st
4th 15.8 3pt Made 9.3 30th
3rd 27.3 Assists 23.3 24th
14th 13.8 Turnovers 14.9 26th

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