The Morehead State Eagles (11-6) will attempt to extend a seven-game winning streak when they host the Murray State Racers (8-4) on Thursday, February 4, 2021 at Ellis T. Johnson Arena as only 2-point underdogs. The matchup airs at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The point total is 129 in the matchup.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 4, 2021, 2:15 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
Computer Picks
Pick ATS:
Eagles (+2)
While DraftKings has the Racers winning by two, the model has the Eagles taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (8.3 points). Take the Eagles.
Pick OU:
Over (129)
In this matchup, the model projects a total (133.4 points) marginally higher than the DraftKings over/under (129 points).
Prediction: Morehead State 70, Murray State 64
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Racers have an average implied point total of 74.5 this season, which is 8.5 points higher than their implied total in Thursday’s game (66).
- So far this season, Murray State has scored more than its implied point total for this matchup (66) 11 times.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Eagles (72.9) is 8.9 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (64).
- Morehead State has put up more than 64 points in 13 games this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Murray State and Morehead State Records ATS
| ATS Record | ATS Record Against 2+ Point Spread | Over/Under Record (O-U-P) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racers | 5-5 | 4-5 | 4-6 |
| Eagles | 12-3 | 4-1 | 4-11 |
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Last 5 Games
| Murray State | Morehead State | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score | Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
| 2/1/2021 | Southeast Missouri State | Win | 77-60 | 1/30/2021 | Tennessee Tech | Win | 74-55 |
| 1/30/2021 | Belmont | Loss | 72-71 | 1/28/2021 | Jacksonville State | Win | 85-66 |
| 1/28/2021 | Tennessee State | Win | 73-53 | 1/23/2021 | UT Martin | Win | 76-44 |
| 1/23/2021 | Tennessee Tech | Win | 72-63 | 1/21/2021 | Southeast Missouri State | Win | 76-65 |
| 1/21/2021 | Jacksonville State | Loss | 85-82 | 1/16/2021 | Southeast Missouri State | Win | 64-50 |
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