The Fresno State Bulldogs (6-3) are heavy underdogs (by 11.5 points) to continue a four-game home win streak when they host the Utah State Aggies (8-5) on Thursday, February 4, 2021 at 9:00 PM ET. The matchup’s point total is 130.5.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of February 4, 2021, 2:15 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Bulldogs (+11.5)

The model line and the DraftKings line are within 0.1 points of each other.

Pick OU:
Over (130.5)

The model projects a total 5.3 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.

Prediction: Utah State 74, Fresno State 62

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The Aggies’ average implied point total this season is 0.8 more points than their implied total in Thursday’s game (71.8 implied points on average compared to 71 implied points in this game).
  • Utah State has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (71) six times this season.
  • The 74.1-point average implied total on the season for the Bulldogs is 14.1 more points than the team’s 60-point implied total in this matchup.
  • Fresno State has scored more than 60 points in eight games this season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Utah State and Fresno State Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 11.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Aggies 6-4 1-0 4-6
Bulldogs 3-4 2-0 2-5

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Last 5 Games

Utah State

Fresno State
Date Opponent Result Score Date Opponent Result Score
1/27/2021 UNLV Win 83-74 1/30/2021 New Mexico Win 65-55
1/25/2021 UNLV Loss 59-56 1/28/2021 New Mexico Win 64-62
1/21/2021 Colorado State Loss 84-76 1/20/2021 Boise State Loss 73-51
1/19/2021 Colorado State Win 83-64 1/17/2021 Nevada Loss 79-65
1/16/2021 San Diego State Win 64-59 1/10/2021 San Jose State Win 80-65

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