All of the top US sportsbooks are chock-full of betting options for Sunday’s Super Bowl LV. PlayPicks has looked at the top game, team, and novelty prop bets for the Big Game; below, we’ll highlight the top-5 player prop picks for Super Bowl LV and shop the legal sportsbooks for the best value odds. The Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will kick off Super Bowl LV Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla.
When considering the suggested prop picks, be sure to monitor news pertaining to injuries, practice reports, and depth charts leading up to Sunday. Betting odds and lines may continue to fluctuate through the week, as well, in order to reflect public betting action. If one side of a bet is considerably more popular than the other, the books will raise or lower the projection in hopes of getting more balanced action.
Super Bowl LV player prop picks: Chiefs
RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire Over 2.5 receptions (+118 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
Edwards-Helaire, the No. 32 overall pick of the 2020 NFL Draft, comes into Super Bowl LV as a bit of a hidden X-factor for the defending champs. He returned to the field in the AFC Championship against the Buffalo Bills after sitting out the final two games of the regular season and the divisional-round contest against the Cleveland Browns due to injury. He carried the ball just six times for seven yards and made one catch for no gain in his return. The rookie found the end zone on the ground in the AFC Championship after totaling just five regular-season touchdowns.
Edwards-Helaire fizzled down the stretch while nursing some injuries after starting the season with a 138-yard rushing day in a blowout win over the Houston Texans. He also showed some early promise in the passing game with 28 catches on 41 targets for 224 yards in an eight-game stretch from Weeks 2 through 9. He also has one of the more appealing matchups among the Chiefs skill players. The Buccaneers defense allowed a league-high 6.3 receptions per game to running backs in the regular season; expect Chiefs head coach Andy Reid and offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy to exploit that with CEH.
S Tyrann Mathieu to make an interception (+300 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
“The Honey Badger” had a career-high six interceptions in the regular season. He added another against the Browns in the divisional round for the first postseason pick of his career. While Bucs QB Tom Brady had a modest 12 interceptions in the regular season he threw one to Mathieu in their Week 12 meeting, and he threw three on consecutive drives in the NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers. Two of those interceptions went to Packers CB Jaire Alexander, but the other went to S Adrian Amos.
Mathieu will also be playing against his first head coach in now-Bucs HC Bruce Arians again. He expressed his gratitude to Arians earlier in the week, and he’ll look to show off what he learned on Sunday.
Super Bowl LV player prop picks: Buccaneers
QB Tom Brady Under 38.5 yards long completion (+100 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
Brady’s 63 passes of 20-plus yards in the regular season were his most such passes in a single campaign since 2011 with the New England Patriots. He threw a 39-yard touchdown pass to WR Scotty Miller in the NFC Championship and had a long of 52 in the game. The Chiefs allowed 54 passes of 20-plus yards and nine of 40-plus yards in the regular season.
Still, don’t expect Brady to be looking deep often in Super Bowl LV. The Bucs key to winning will be extended drives in order to keep the Chiefs and QB Patrick Mahomes off the field. If the Over were to hit, it likely wouldn’t be until late in the game if the Bucs are facing a significant deficit.
RB Ronald Jones II Over 9.5 1st-quarter rushing yards (-112 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Jones has seemingly lost his job to Leonard Fournette after battling quadriceps and finger injuries, and spending some time on the COVID-19 list late in the season. He returned to rush for 62 yards on 13 carries against the New Orleans Saints in the divisional round, but he had just 10 carries for 16 yards in the NFC Championship. He had four 100-yard games in the regular season, and he rushed for 66 yards on just nine carries against the Chiefs in Week 12.
Whether it’s Jones or Fournette who receives the token start, expect both Tampa Bay backs to be worked into the first drive. The Chiefs allowed 4.5 yards per carry and Jones averaged 5.1 yards per attempt in the regular season. It shouldn’t take many touches for him to eclipse this modest line.
Super Bowl LV player prop picks: First touchdown scorer
Buccaneers TE Rob Gronkowski (+1800 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
Brady has been adamant he won’t be retiring on the field Sunday, regardless of the outcome of Super Bowl LV. Gronkowski, who came out of retirement to reunite with his QB1 in Tampa, has been quieter. Either way, the long-time dynamic duo should be front and center after connecting for six scores in the regular season (Gronkowski caught a seventh TD pass from backup Blaine Gabbert in Week 16). The future Hall of Fame TE shared the Bucs’ team lead with 21 red-zone targets in the regular season and converted five of those for touchdowns.
Gronk caught 12 total postseason TD passes from Brady with the Patriots with three of those coming in two separate Super Bowl appearances. Should the Bucs succeed in slowly working their way down the field to start the game, Brady will go to his most reliable target for the early lead.