The Troy Trojans (5-8) are 4.5-point underdogs as they try to turn around a four-game losing streak when they host the Appalachian State Mountaineers (10-4) on Friday, January 29, 2021 at Trojan Arena. The contest airs at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 132.5.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of January 29, 2021, 2:15 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Betting Odds

Computer Picks

Pick ATS:
Mountaineers (-4.5)

The model projects the Mountaineers to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by a small margin more (5.6 to 4.5).

Pick OU:
Over (132.5)

The model predicts a total 2.6 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game.

Prediction: Appalachian State 70, Troy 65

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Examining the Over/Under

  • The Mountaineers’ average implied point total this season is 3.9 more points than their implied total in Friday’s game (72.9 implied points on average compared to 69 implied points in this game).
  • Appalachian State has scored more than its implied point total for this matchup (69) 10 times this season.
  • The average implied point total on the season for the Trojans (75.4) is 11.4 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (64).
  • Troy has scored more than 64 points six times on the season.

Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.

Appalachian State and Troy Records ATS

ATS Record ATS Record Against 4.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Mountaineers 7-2-1 1-0 5-5
Trojans 6-4 0-0 2-7-1

Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Last 5 Games

Appalachian State

Date Opponent Result Score Date Opponent Result Score
1/23/2021 Georgia State Win 74-61 1/23/2021 Coastal Carolina Loss 70-65
1/22/2021 Georgia State Win 80-71 1/22/2021 Coastal Carolina Loss 90-81
1/16/2021 South Alabama Win 83-77 1/16/2021 Georgia Southern Loss 63-56
1/15/2021 South Alabama Loss 73-64 1/15/2021 Georgia Southern Loss 67-64
1/9/2021 Georgia Southern Win 77-71 12/28/2020 Carver Win 88-35

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