The Troy Trojans (5-8) are 4.5-point underdogs as they try to turn around a four-game losing streak when they host the Appalachian State Mountaineers (10-4) on Friday, January 29, 2021 at Trojan Arena. The contest airs at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 132.5.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of January 29, 2021, 2:15 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The model projects the Mountaineers to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by a small margin more (5.6 to 4.5).
The model predicts a total 2.6 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
Prediction: Appalachian State 70, Troy 65
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Mountaineers’ average implied point total this season is 3.9 more points than their implied total in Friday’s game (72.9 implied points on average compared to 69 implied points in this game).
- Appalachian State has scored more than its implied point total for this matchup (69) 10 times this season.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Trojans (75.4) is 11.4 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (64).
- Troy has scored more than 64 points six times on the season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Appalachian State and Troy Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 4.5+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Last 5 Games
|1/23/2021||Georgia State||Win||74-61||1/23/2021||Coastal Carolina||Loss||70-65|
|1/22/2021||Georgia State||Win||80-71||1/22/2021||Coastal Carolina||Loss||90-81|
|1/16/2021||South Alabama||Win||83-77||1/16/2021||Georgia Southern||Loss||63-56|
|1/15/2021||South Alabama||Loss||73-64||1/15/2021||Georgia Southern||Loss||67-64|
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