The Kansas State Wildcats (5-10) will attempt to end a six-game losing streak when they visit the No. 2 Baylor Bears (14-0) on Wednesday, January 27, 2021 at Ferrell Center as heavy, 24-point underdogs. The game airs at 9:00 PM ET on ESPN2. The over/under is set at 136.5 for the matchup.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of January 27, 2021, 2:15 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The spread for this game suggested by the model (23.4 points) is slightly less than the 24-point edge DraftKings gives to the Bears, though the data still has them as the favorite.
The model predicts a total 4.8 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
Prediction: Baylor 82, Kansas State 59
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The Bears’ average implied point total this season is 1.5 more points than their implied total in Wednesday’s game (81.5 implied points on average compared to 80 implied points in this game).
- Baylor is looking to surpass its implied point total for this matchup (80) for the ninth time this season.
- The average implied point total on the season for the Wildcats (72) is 16 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (56).
- Kansas State is attempting to outscore its implied point total for this matchup (56) for the 12th time this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
Baylor and Kansas State Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 24+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- This season, the Bears have a 50.2% shooting percentage from the field, which is 3% higher than the 47.2% of shots the Wildcats’ opponents have hit.
- Baylor is 7-2-1 against the spread and 11-0 overall in games when it collectively shoots better than 47.2% from the field.
- Kansas State’s record is 3-8 against the spread and 5-6 overall when its opponents make more than 50.2% of their shots from the field.
- The Wildcats have shot at a 42.5% rate from the field this season, -1.4 percentage points fewer than the 41.1% shooting opponents of the Bears have averaged.
- Kansas State is 4-5 against the spread and 4-5 overall when shooting higher than 41.1% from the field.
- Baylor is 7-0 against the spread and 7-0 overall in games its opponents shoot above 42.5% from the field.
- The Bears’ 42.6% three-point shooting percentage this season is six percentage points higher than opponents of the Wildcats have shot from deep (36.6%).
- Baylor has assembled a 12-0 straight-up record and a 9-1-1 record against the spread in games when the team knocks down more than 36.6% of its three-point attempts this season.
- Kansas State is 4-7 against the spread and 4-7 overall when its opponents shoot higher than 42.6% from deep.
- The Wildcats three-point shooting percentage this season (31.1%) is 0.6 percentage points lower than opponents of the Bears are averaging (31.7%).
- Kansas State is 3-4 overall and 3-4 against the spread when it shoots above 31.7% as a team from three-point range.
- Baylor has a 6-0 ATS record and a 6-0 straight-up record in games this season it has shot better than 31.1% from distance.
- The Bears make 10.2 three-pointers per game this season, 3.2 more makes per game than the Wildcats allow (7).
- Baylor has gone 8-1 against the spread and 10-0 overall this season in games it has out-shot its opponents from the three-point line. When Kansas State makes fewer three-pointers than its opponents, it is 2-5 ATS and 2-5 straight up.
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