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Bam Adebayo leads the Miami Heat (6-9) into a matchup against the Brooklyn Nets (10-8) after putting up 41 points in a 128-124 loss to the Nets. The Nets are favorites in the game on Monday, January 25, 2021, which starts at 7:30 PM ET on NBA TV. The matchup has an over/under of .

The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of January 25, 2021, 1:06 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Nets vs Heat Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of January 25

Nets:
Nicolas Claxton: Out (Right knee),
Spencer Dinwiddie: Out For Season (ACL)

Heat:
KZ Okpala: Day To Day (Left knee),
Maurice Harkless: Out (Thigh),
Goran Dragic: Day To Day (Right foot),
Tyler Herro: Out (Neck),
Gabe Vincent: Day To Day (Right knee),
Chris Silva: Out (Hip),
Jimmy Butler: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Meyers Leonard: Out (Shoulder),
Avery Bradley: Out (Health and Safety Protocols)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Nets (-7.5)
Total Pick Under (235.5)
Prediction Nets 119, Heat 111

The FanDuel line for this game has the Nets favored by 7.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (8.2 points).

In this matchup, the model projects a total (229.7 points) marginally lower than the FanDuel over/under (235.5 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Nets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Kevin Durant 13 31.2 7.2 5.8 0.8 1.4 2.9
Kyrie Irving 10 29.3 4.6 5.8 1.2 0.7 3.6
James Harden 13 24.3 6.2 11.0 1.0 0.6 2.9
Joe Harris 18 14.6 4.2 1.9 0.5 0.3 3.2
Jeff Green 18 7.9 3.3 1.2 0.6 0.2 1.5

Nets Player Props

  • Kevin Durant’s rebounding prop over/under for the matchup is set at 6.5 boards, 0.7 rebounds lower than his season average of 7.2.
  • James Harden’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 42.5, 1.0 higher than his season average of 41.5.
  • Kyrie Irving’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 2.5, 1.1 shots lower than his season average of 3.6.
  • Irving’s steals prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.3 steals greater than his season average of 1.2.

Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Bam Adebayo 13 20.3 8.9 5.5 0.8 0.9 0.1
Tyler Herro 10 17.6 6.7 3.8 0.4 0.1 1.6
Jimmy Butler 6 15.8 5.5 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.0
Goran Dragic 13 15.5 2.6 5.3 0.5 0.1 1.5
Duncan Robinson 15 14.7 3.9 1.5 0.5 0.3 3.7

Heat Player Props

  • Adebayo’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 32.5, 2.2 less than his season average of 34.7.
  • Duncan Robinson’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 3.5, 0.2 shots less than his season average of 3.7.
  • Jimmy Butler’s steals prop total for the game is set at 0.5, 1.7 steals lower than his season average of 2.2.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Nets have a 49.3% shooting percentage from the field, which is 3.5% higher than the 45.8% of shots the Heat’s opponents have knocked down.
  • Brooklyn is 5-7 against the spread and 8-4 overall when it shoots better than 45.8% from the field.
  • Miami is 5-5-1 against the spread and 6-5 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 49.3% from the field.
  • The Heat have shot at a 48.2% rate from the field this season, 2.6 percentage points higher than the 45.6% shooting opponents of the Nets have averaged.
  • This season, Miami has a 6-5-1 record against the spread and a 6-6 record overall in games the team collectively shoots over 45.6% from the field.
  • When Brooklyn’s opponents shoot greater than 48.2% from the field, it is 6-8 against the spread and 9-5 overall.
  • The Nets’ 40.2% three-point shooting percentage this season is just 1.9 percentage points higher than opponents of the Heat have shot from deep (38.3%).
  • Brooklyn has assembled a 7-5 record against the spread and a 10-2 straight-up record in games this season when the team knocks down more than 38.3% of its three-point attempts.
  • Miami is 5-5-1 against the spread while putting together a 6-5 straight-up record when its opponents shoot over 40.2% from three-point range.
  • The Heat are making 35.6% of their shots from beyond the arc, which is 0.4 percentage points fewer than the 36% the Nets’ opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Miami has a 4-3-1 ATS record and is 6-2 straight-up when the team hits more than 36% of its three-point attempts.
  • Brooklyn is 5-5 ATS and 7-3 overall in games it shoots over 35.6% from deep.
  • The Nets make 14.7 three-pointers per game this season, 1.8 more made shots on average than the 12.9 per game the Heat allow.
  • When Brooklyn makes more three-pointers than its opponents, it is 6-8 against the spread and 9-5 overall. When Miami is out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it is 2-6-1 ATS and 2-7 straight up.
  • The Heat make the 13th-most three-pointers in the league, while the Nets give up the 15th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Nets vs Heat Stat Rankings

Nets Rank Nets AVG Heat AVG Heat Rank
1st 120.3 Points Scored 109.3 21st
27th 116.8 Points Allowed 113.1 22nd
24th 45.6 Rebounds 40.9 30th
25th 8.6 Off. Rebounds 6.4 30th
6th 14.7 3pt Made 12.9 13th
5th 26.5 Assists 26.3 9th
27th 15.5 Turnovers 17.1 30th

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