The USC Trojans (11-2) are heavily favored (-11) to continue a six-game win streak when they visit the Oregon State Beavers (6-5) at 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, January 19, 2021 at Gill Coliseum. The matchup airs on ESPN2. The matchup has an over/under of 139 points.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of January 19, 2021, 2:18 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Betting Odds
The DraftKings line for this game has the Trojans favored by 11, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (13.3 points).
The model predicts a total 4.8 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
Prediction: USC 79, Oregon State 65
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Examining the Over/Under
- The average implied total for the Trojans this season is 74.1 points, 0.9 fewer points than their implied total of 75 points in Tuesday’s game.
- USC has scored more than its implied point total for this matchup (75) eight times this season.
- The Beavers’ average implied point total on the season (73.3 points) is 9.3 points higher than their implied total in this matchup (64 points).
- Oregon State will try to outscore its implied point total for this matchup (64) for the 10th time this season.
Implied totals are projected point totals for each team based on totals and spreads set by sportsbooks.
USC and Oregon State Records ATS
|ATS Record||ATS Record Against 11+ Point Spread||Over/Under Record (O-U-P)|
Against The Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Betting Tips – Shooting Stats
- The Trojans make 47.5% of their shots from the field this season, which is 3.6 percentage points higher than the Beavers have allowed to their opponents (43.9%).
- USC has a 7-2 record against the spread and a 9-0 straight-up record in games it shoots higher than 43.9% from the field.
- Oregon State is 2-3 against the spread and 4-2 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 47.5% from the field.
- The Beavers are shooting 42.7% from the field, 5.6% higher than the 37.1% the Trojans’ opponents have shot this season.
- This season, Oregon State has a 6-2 record overall and a 4-3 record against the spread in games the team collectively shoots above 37.1% from the field.
- This season, USC has an 8-2 record against the spread and a 9-2 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot higher than 42.7% from the field.
- The Trojans’ 33.3% three-point shooting percentage this season is 3.3 percentage points higher than opponents of the Beavers have shot from beyond the arc (30%).
- USC has a 7-2 record against the spread and an 8-1 record overall when the team connects on more than 30% of its attempts from three-point range.
- Oregon State has a 3-2 record against the spread while going 5-1 overall in games this season when its opponents shoot higher than 33.3% from downtown.
- The Beavers three-point shooting percentage this season (35.7%) is 3.8 percentage points higher than opponents of the Trojans are averaging (31.9%).
- Oregon State is 3-4 ATS and 5-3 overall when hitting more than 31.9% of its three-point attempts.
- USC has a 6-1 ATS record and a 7-0 straight-up record this season when it connects on more than 35.7% of its three-point shots.
- The Trojans hit 6.2 three-pointers per game this season, 1.5 fewer made shots on average than the 7.7 per game the Beavers allow.
- The Beavers are 2-3 against the spread and 4-2 overall when they make more threes than their opponents, while the Trojans are 3-3 ATS and 6-1 straight up in games when they are out-shot from the three-point line.
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