The Miami Heat (4-7) are favored by to stop a three-game losing streak when they host the Detroit Pistons (3-9) at 3:00 PM ET on Monday, January 18, 2021 at American Airlines Arena. The game airs on SUN. The over/under is set at .

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of January 18, 2021, 1:07 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Heat vs Pistons Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of January 18

Heat:
Maurice Harkless: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols),
Gabe Vincent: Day To Day (Knee),
Tyler Herro: Day To Day (Neck),
Udonis Haslem: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols),
Jimmy Butler: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),
Meyers Leonard: Out (Shoulder),
Avery Bradley: Out (Health protocols)

Pistons:
Frank Jackson: Day To Day (Ankle),
Killian Hayes: Out (Hip)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Pistons (+6)
Prediction Heat 114, Pistons 110

The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (4.1 points) is a little tighter than the 6-point edge DraftKings gives to the Heat, though the data still has them as the favorite.

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Bam Adebayo 9 18.6 8.8 5.1 0.9 1.2 0.0
Tyler Herro 10 17.6 6.7 3.8 0.4 0.1 1.6
Jimmy Butler 6 15.8 5.5 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.0
Duncan Robinson 11 14.5 4.0 1.5 0.6 0.4 3.6
Goran Dragic 9 14.4 2.3 5.6 0.6 0.0 1.6

Heat Player Props

  • Bam Adebayo’s rebounding prop total for the game is listed at 9.5 boards, 0.7 rebounds greater than his season average of 8.8.
  • Goran Dragic’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 23.5, 1.2 greater than his season average of 22.3.
  • Duncan Robinson’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.1 shots less than his season average of 3.6.
  • Jimmy Butler’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.7 steals less than his season average of 2.2.

Pistons Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jerami Grant 12 24.8 6.3 2.2 0.9 1.3 2.8
Derrick Rose 9 14.9 1.9 5.2 1.3 0.3 1.0
Blake Griffin 9 13.8 6.0 4.7 1.0 0.2 2.3
Josh Jackson 10 11.9 3.2 1.8 1.2 0.5 1.4
Saddiq Bey 11 10.0 4.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 2.4

Pistons Player Props

  • Jerami Grant’s points prop total for the game is set at 14.5, 10.3 points less than his season average of 24.8.
  • Mason Plumlee’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 13.5, 6.7 less than his season average of 20.2.
  • Grant’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 1.3 shots less than his season average of 2.8.
  • Plumlee’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 0.5, 0.9 steals less than his season average of 1.4.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Heat have a 47.9% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.3% lower than the 49.2% of shots the Pistons’ opponents have hit.
  • In games Miami shoots higher than 49.2% from the field, it is 2-3 against the spread and 3-2 overall.
  • Detroit’s record is 3-2 against the spread and 3-2 overall when its opponents make more than 47.9% of their shots from the field.
  • The Pistons’ 42.3% shooting percentage from the field this season is 3.3 percentage points lower than the Heat have given up to their opponents (45.6%).
  • This season, Detroit has a 2-1 record against the spread and a 1-2 record overall in games the team collectively shoots over 45.6% from the field.
  • This season, Miami has a 3-1 record against the spread and a 3-1 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot above 42.3% from the field.
  • The Heat shoot 36.2% from beyond the arc, 2.6% lower than the 38.8% the Pistons allow to opponents.
  • Miami has a 2-1 record against the spread and a 2-1 record overall when the team makes more than 38.8% of its three-point shots.
  • Detroit is 2-2 against the spread and 2-2 overall when its opponents shoot higher than 36.2% from deep.
  • The Pistons are knocking down 34.5% of their shots from beyond the arc, which is 3.2 percentage points fewer than the 37.7% the Heat’s opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Detroit is 4-0 ATS and 1-3 overall when the team makes more than 37.7% of its three-point attempts.
  • Miami has a 3-2 ATS record and a 2-3 straight-up record this season when it hits more than 34.5% of its three-point attempts.
  • The Heat knock down 13.1 three-pointers per game this season, only 0.2 fewer made shots on average than the 13.3 per game the Pistons give up.
  • When Detroit makes more threes than its opponents, it is 4-1 against the spread and 2-3 overall. When Miami is out-shot from deep by its opponents, it is 1-5 ATS and 1-5 straight up.
  • The Heat make the 13th-most three-pointers in the league, while the Pistons allow the 27th-fewest makes from beyond the arc.

Heat vs Pistons Stat Rankings

Heat Rank Heat AVG Pistons AVG Pistons Rank
19th 110 Points Scored 109.1 21st
24th 114.5 Points Allowed 113.7 23rd
27th 42.6 Rebounds 43.7 21st
30th 7 Off. Rebounds 11.2 8th
13th 13.1 3pt Made 13.3 9th
5th 26.7 Assists 24.6 18th
30th 17.6 Turnovers 12.3 4th

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