A pair of hot teams meet when the Milwaukee Bucks (8-4) host the Dallas Mavericks (6-4) on Friday, January 15, 2021 at 7:30 PM ET. The Mavericks are underdogs and will attempt to keep their three-game win streak going against the Bucks, winners of three straight. The matchup has an over/under set at points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of January 15, 2021, 1:06 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Bucks vs Mavericks Betting Odds

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Injury Report as of January 15

Bucks:
Jrue Holiday: Day To Day (Ankle),
Torrey Craig: Day To Day (Nose)

Mavericks:
Dorian Finney-Smith: Out (Health protocols),
Kristaps Porzingis: Day To Day (Ankle),
Josh Richardson: Out (Health protocols),
Dwight Powell: Day To Day (Health protocols),
Jalen Brunson: Out (Health protocols),
Maxi Kleber: Out (Health and safety protocols)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Mavericks (+6)
Total Pick Under (227)
Prediction Bucks 113, Mavericks 109

The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (3.6 points) is a little bit less than the 6-point edge DraftKings gives to the Bucks, though the data still has them as the favorite.

In this game, the model projects a total (222.1 points) a little lower than the DraftKings over/under (227 points).

Click here for today’s NBA betting picks from our team of experts.

Bucks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Giannis Antetokounmpo 11 26.2 10.1 5.5 1.3 1.2 1.5
Khris Middleton 12 21.6 6.3 5.7 0.9 0.2 2.7
Jrue Holiday 12 15.2 4.3 5.0 2.2 0.7 1.8
Bobby Portis 12 11.8 7.8 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.9
Donte DiVincenzo 12 10.7 4.2 2.6 1.5 0.3 2.2

Bucks Player Props

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo’s points prop over/under for the game is set at 28.5, 2.3 points greater than his season average of 26.2.
  • Khris Middleton’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 32.5, 1.1 less than his season average of 33.6.
  • Middleton’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 2.5, 0.2 shots less than his season average of 2.7.
  • Jrue Holiday’s steals prop over/under for the game is set at 1.5, 0.7 steals lower than his season average of 2.2.

Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 9 27.4 9.7 8.3 1.1 1.0 2.0
Tim Hardaway Jr. 10 18.4 3.8 2.3 0.8 0.2 3.8
Josh Richardson 8 13.8 2.9 1.6 0.9 0.3 2.0
Jalen Brunson 8 11.1 2.5 3.5 0.5 0.0 0.9
Trey Burke 9 9.7 1.3 2.0 0.6 0.2 1.9

Mavericks Player Props

  • Luka Doncic’s points prop total for the game is set at 27.5, 0.1 points greater than his season average of 27.4.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr.’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.3 shots lower than his season average of 3.8.
  • James Johnson’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 0.5, 1.0 steal lower than his season average of 1.5.

Shooting Trends

  • This season, the Bucks have a 49.3% shooting percentage from the field, which is 5.5% higher than the 43.8% of shots the Mavericks’ opponents have knocked down.
  • Milwaukee has a 6-4 record against the spread and an 8-2 straight-up record in games it shoots better than 43.8% from the field.
  • Dallas is 6-2 against the spread and 6-2 overall when allowing opponents to shoot better than 49.3% from the field.
  • The Mavericks are shooting 45.2% from the field, one% higher than the 44.2% the Bucks’ opponents have shot this season.
  • Dallas is 4-2 against the spread and 4-2 overall when it shoots better than 44.2% from the field.
  • This season, Milwaukee has a 5-2 record against the spread and a 7-0 straight up record when it allows opponents to shoot above 45.2% from the field.
  • The Bucks’ 41.2% three-point shooting percentage this season is 10.3 percentage points higher than opponents of the Mavericks have shot from beyond the arc (30.9%).
  • Milwaukee is 6-5 against the spread and 8-3 overall when it shoots better than 30.9% from distance.
  • Dallas is 6-2 against the spread and 6-2 overall when its opponents shoot higher than 41.2% from deep.
  • The Mavericks’ three-point shooting percentage this season (34.8%) is -2.2 percentage points higher than opponents of the Bucks are averaging (37%).
  • Dallas has a 3-1 ATS record and is 3-1 straight-up when the team hits more than 37% of its three-point attempts.
  • Milwaukee has a 5-0 ATS record and a 5-0 straight-up record this season when it hits more than 34.8% of its three-point shots.
  • The Bucks knock down 16.5 three-pointers per game this season, 2.7 more makes per game than the Mavericks give up (13.8).
  • Milwaukee is 6-2 against the spread and 7-1 overall when it connects on more threes than its opponents, while Dallas is 0-4 ATS and 0-4 straight up in games when it is out-shot from deep.
  • The Mavericks are the ninth-best three-point shooting team in the NBA, while the Bucks allow the 21st-fewest makes from deep.

Bucks vs Mavericks Stat Rankings

Bucks Rank Bucks AVG Mavericks AVG Mavericks Rank
1st 120.9 Points Scored 109.4 21st
11th 109.5 Points Allowed 104.4 2nd
5th 47.4 Rebounds 44.2 21st
12th 10.6 Off. Rebounds 8.4 24th
1st 16.5 3pt Made 13.8 9th
6th 26.6 Assists 22.5 25th
22nd 14.9 Turnovers 12.6 5th

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