NBA Daily Plays Analysis 4/7

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on April 7, 2015 - Last Updated on June 27, 2018

There are only a handful of games left in the regular season so make sure to get in your DFS action before the season ends. With that said,  there’s a good chance that some of the teams that don’t have much to play for, such as the Atlanta Hawks and Golden State Warriors, could start resting some of their starters in the next few games. It’s something to monitor throughout the day heading into game time if you decide to roll with some of their starters. With tonight’s six game slate on deck, you’ll see several  high-end plays as well as some decent value. I’ll do my best at walking you through today’s best NBA Daily plays below.


Point Guards


There’s a ton of star power at this position today as Russell Westbrook, Stephen Curry, and Chris Paul are all scheduled to play tonight. Westbrook is the most expensive of the bunch for obvious reasons. He has 11 triple-doubles this season and continues to play at an absurdly high level. He’s topped 60 fantasy points in six of his last 10 games on Draft Kings, including two 70+ fantasy point games. The Thunder are currently half of a game ahead of the Pelicans in the Western Conference so he’ll be giving it his all tonight once again. Paul and Curry are both great options as well and come at a cheaper price, but don’t offer the same ceiling that Westbrook does. Keep an eye on what Golden State does with their starters as coach Kerr could decide to rest some of them.


Some more affordable point guards are Goran Dragic, Zach LaVine, and Tony Parker. Dragic is less than $7,000 on both sites, while LaVine and Parker are less than $6,000 on both sites. LaVine has the best matchup of the three and has been playing well in his new role as the starter. He’s topped 30 fantasy points in five of the last nine games and plays against the Kings who surrender the third most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards. I also like Parker as a value play tonight, especially on DraftKings where he is $5,400. He hasn’t done much as of late, but he takes on the Thunder who he is averaging over 30 fantasy points per game against. I’d only recommend him in tournaments because his floor is lower than most other point guards, but he needs fewer than 30 fantasy points to hit value which is something he’s definitely capable of. If that’s not cheap enough then maybe Ray McCallum fits what you’re looking for. He’s scored 26 or more fantasy points in three straight games and has topped 30 fantasy points twice in the last six games. It’s a favorable matchup for him as he faces the Timberwolves who allow the fourth most fantasy points per game. He’s a low risk high reward option that can pay off tonight.


Shooting Guard


Dwayne Wade stands out the most because of his price, particularly on DraftKings where he’s $6,800. While it’s not looking as promising as it did last week for the Heat to make the playoffs, they still have a shot, and Wade being the leader he is, will go out and give it his all. He faces Charlotte who he is averaging 39 fantasy points per game against this season. He’s dinged up but has played through injuries before and thrived. There aren’t many players priced this economically that have a shot at a 45+ fantasy point game, but Wade surely has that upside.


A tad more of an economical option is Kevin Martin. He returned to action on Friday after missing some games with a hamstring injury. It was clear that he was a bit rusty as he shot 3 of 12 from the court. Tonight could be just what the doctor ordered as he faces the Kings who surrender the most fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards and also the most three pointers which is Martin’s bread and butter. Barring any setbacks, he should be on the court and playing regular minutes. A couple of value plays to consider are Kyle Korver, Anthony Morrow, and Ben McLemore. All of them are cheaper than $5,000 on both sites and play plenty of minutes. Of the three, I’d roll with McLemore for a couple of reasons. He’s the cheapest of the three and draws the best matchup. He plays the Timberwolves who yield the second most fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards. McLemore lacks consistency but has been shooting the ball well in the last three games and has exceeded value in each of those games. He’s topped 25 fantasy points in three consecutive games and only needs about 22 fantasy points to hit value. Not to mention, he’s averaging over 30 fantasy points against the Timberwolves. With that said, I don’t feel comfortable with him in a cash lineup because he is still capable of an off night which equates to a low floor.


Small Forward


Kawhi Leonard is easily the best option at small forward tonight and he comes at an affordable price on both sites. He’s capable of 40+ fantasy points on any given night while still offering a steady floor. He takes on the Thunder who has allowed the third most fantasy points to small forwards in their last 10 games. If you’re paying up for a small forward tonight, it’s best to go with Leonard. I also would suggest Rudy Gay, but he’s dealing with a concussion and may sit out again tonight. If he plays and will not be limited, he also makes a great play. As far as a mid-level play, you have to roll with Andrew Wiggins. He’s had his way against the Kings this season as he averages 48.5 fantasy points per game against them. Wiggins is closing out the season on a high note. With all the injuries to the Timberwolves, he’s seen a higher usage rate and has topped 30 fantasy points in six of the last nine games, including three 40+ fantasy point games.  He’s the favorite to win rookie of the year and continues to show why.


DeMarre Carroll is in play tonight as well. With Paul Milsap out, Carroll could play a bigger role on the offensive side of the ball. He has strung together a couple of solid games as he’s topped 35 fantasy points in three of the last four games. Due to the lack of consistency but the height of his ceiling, he’s better off in a tournament rather than in cash. As I’ve mentioned before, he’s one of the players in a team that has nothing to play for so keep a close eye on his status. Chase Budinger and Wesley Johnson are two value plays for tonight. Budinger has done well in his increased role and has a great matchup against the Kings who surrender the third most fantasy points per game to opposing small forwards. If Rudy Gay doesn’t play, Omri Casspi also becomes a value play to consider. He’s topped 20 fantasy points in each of the last three games he has filled in for Gay in and plays an abysmal defense, the Timberwolves. The best part about it, is that he comes at a very low price.


Power Forwards


Anthony Davis and Blake Griffin are the two prime power forwards to target tonight. The determining factor will be on how much you’re willing to cough up. The last time that Davis played against the Warriors he scored 63.8 fantasy points. He has topped 50 fantasy points in five of the last nine games, including an 80+ fantasy point performance. When you play Davis you have a player who has a shot at 55+ fantasy points and on a bad night will get no less than 40 fantasy points. If you’re not spending top dollar at this position, someone like Markieff Morris is in play. He’s topped 34 fantasy points in six of the last nine games and had a huge game against the Hawks last time they played against each other. He scored 48.3 fantasy points in that meeting. While he’s not as consistent as one would like, he still has a steady floor. With Milsap out for tonight’s game, Morris should be able to get the best of Mike Scott.


The value play at this positon is Brandon Wright who has been starting for the Suns in recent games while Alex Len sits out with an injury. Wright has topped 30 fantasy points in consecutive games and could see another high usage rate evening. He should be able to hit value and maybe even exceed it if he continues to play at the same level. I’d like him even more if the Hawks decide to bench their starters tonight. If you’re in the gambling mood and want to roll the dice, Mike Scott is my punt play of the evening. He will be in the Hawks starting lineup in place of Paul Milsap. The last two games he played more than 20 or more minutes, he topped 21 fantasy points. At minimum price, he’s not much of a risk and should have no trouble hitting value.




With no Boogie tonight, the options at center start with DeAndre Jordan and Enes Kanter. Of the two, Kanter has been more productive in recent games. He has topped 40 fantasy points in three straight games, including two 50+ fantasy point games. He’s averaging close to a point per minute against the Spurs and has been playing 30+ minutes in each of the last five games. With their playoffs hope on the line, Kanter should see plenty of playing time. If you’re being frugal at this position tonight, Andre Bogut is economical and has posted 20+ fantasy points in four consecutive games. He’s a bit of a risk because the minutes are not consistent. On the bright side, he’s averaging 24 fantasy points per game against the Pelicans and just 21 minutes. So essentially, he doesn’t need a ton of minutes to be productive.

Good luck to all tonight!

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