NFL action in Week 11 will see the Los Angeles Chargers and Justin Herbert face the Kansas City Chiefs at 8:20 PM ET on Sunday. Below we dig into Herbert’s stats and trends in relation to prop bets, helping you make good predictions for this contest.
Justin Herbert Player Props Vs The Chiefs
2022 Betting Outcomes
| Passing | Rushing | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 2 | 3 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 8 | 0 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 4 | 0 |
Justin Herbert’s Passing Trends
- This year Herbert has thrown for 2,450 yards (272.2 per game) while completing 254 of 386 passes (65.8%), with 14 touchdowns and six interceptions.
- With 2,450 yards on 386 attempts, Herbert ranks 37th in the league with 6.3 passing yards per attempt.
- Herbert’s 14 passing touchdowns and 2,450 yards rank ninth and seventh, respectively, in league play.
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Herbert’s Rushing Trends
- He also has 73 rushing yards on 27 carries, averaging 8.1 yards per game.
- He averages 2.7 yards per carry (73 yards on 27 attempts).
This Week’s Predictions
| Herbert (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Chiefs (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 273.5+ Passing Yards | 55.6% | 27.5% | 44.4% | 49.3% |
| 1+ Passing TDs | 88.9% | 78.9% | 88.9% | 87.6% |
| 2+ Passing TDs | 44.4% | 41.3% | 88.9% | 55.1% |
| 8.5+ Rushing Yards | 44.4% | 98.5% | 100% | 65.1% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 37.1% | 27.3% | 11.5% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 3.3% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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