Maple Leafs Vs Sabres: NHL Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – November 19, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on November 19, 2022

The Toronto Maple Leafs (9-5-3) host the Buffalo Sabres (7-9-0) — who’ve lost seven in a row — on Saturday at 7:00 PM ET. Oddsmakers give the Sabres +223 odds to win and list the Maple Leafs at -274 on the moneyline for this matchup. The over/under is 6.5 in this game.

This article makes reference to odds as of November 19, 2022 at 3:21 AM ET. See all the latest odds for this game in the table in this article and click here to claim your free sports bet (up to $1,001) at Caesars!

Maple Leafs Vs Sabres Betting Odds

Injury Report as of November 19

Maple Leafs: T.J. Brodie: Out (Undisclosed), Jake Muzzin: Out (Neck), Carl Dahlstrom: Out (Shoulder), Ilya Samsonov: Out (Knee), Auston Matthews: Questionable (Foot)

Sabres: Zemgus Girgensons: Questionable (Undisclosed), Kyle Okposo: Out (Undisclosed), Eric Comrie: Out (Undisclosed), Mattias Samuelsson: Out (Lower Body), Jack Quinn: Questionable (Upper Body)

Computer Picks

Moneyline Pick Maple Leafs
Total Pick Under (6.5)
Spread Pick Maple Leafs (-1.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Maple Leafs Vs Sabres Team Stats

Maple Leafs Avg. (Rank) Sabres Avg. (Rank)
2.94 (20th) Goals Scored 3.69 (4th)
2.71 (8th) Goals Allowed 3.56 (25th)
31.4 (17th) Shots 31.9 (14th)
27.8 (5th) Shots Allowed 31.4 (15th)

Maple Leafs Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Mitchell Marner 18 4 16 20 39 0 0
Auston Matthews 18 8 11 19 80 6 +2
William Nylander 18 8 10 18 53 3 0
John Tavares 18 9 9 18 61 5 -3
Morgan Rielly 18 0 15 15 32 0 -2

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Sabres Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Tage Thompson 17 12 10 22 75 5 -2
Rasmus Dahlin 16 7 11 18 62 5 +7
Alex Tuch 17 8 7 15 41 1 0
Jeff Skinner 17 5 9 14 48 1 -1
Dylan Cozens 17 4 8 12 37 0 -1

Betting Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have a 9-10 record when favored on the moneyline this season.
  • The Maple Leafs have an implied moneyline win probability of 73.3% in this matchup.
  • This season the Sabres have been an underdog 13 times, and won five, or 38.5%, of those games.
  • Oddsmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Sabres have a 31.0% chance to win.
  • Toronto’s 20 matches this season have finished above this game’s total of 6.5 goals seven times.
  • Buffalo has played 10 games this season with more than 6.5 goals.
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