The Dallas Mavericks (1-3) host the Miami Heat (2-2) in a matchup of Southwest Division teams at American Airlines Center, tipping off at 7:00 PM ET on Friday, January 1, 2021. The Mavericks are in the game, the first matchup between the teams this season. The over/under is set at .
The betting insights in this article reflect data from FanDuel sportsbook as of January 1, 2021, 1:06 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.
Mavericks vs Heat Betting Odds
Injury Report as of January 1
Mavericks:
Maxi Kleber: Day To Day (Ankle),
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (Knee)
Heat:
Jimmy Butler: Day To Day (Ankle),
Kelly Olynyk: Day To Day (Left knee),
Gabe Vincent: Day To Day (Right knee)
Computer Picks
Pick ATS:
Mavericks (-1)
Pick OU:
Under ()
Prediction:
Heat 116 Mavericks 106
The Mavericks are the bet in this matchup. They’re favored by 8.6 more points in the model than FanDuel (9.6 to 1).
Mavericks Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 61 | 28.8 | 9.4 | 8.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.8 |
| Kristaps Porzingis | 57 | 20.4 | 9.5 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 71 | 15.8 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.9 |
| Josh Richardson | 55 | 13.7 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.5 |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 71 | 9.5 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.6 |
Heat Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 58 | 19.9 | 6.7 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Goran Dragic | 59 | 16.2 | 3.2 | 5.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.1 |
| Bam Adebayo | 72 | 15.9 | 10.2 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Kendrick Nunn | 67 | 15.3 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| Tyler Herro | 55 | 13.5 | 4.1 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.1 |
Shooting Trends
- Last season, the Mavericks had a 46.2% shooting percentage from the field, which was 1.3% higher than the 44.9% of shots the Heat’s opponents hit.
- In games Dallas shot better than 44.9% from the field, it went 29-15-2 against the spread and 33-14 overall.
- Miami went 39-16-2 against the spread and 43-15 overall when allowing opponents to shoot higher than 46.2% from the field.
- The Heat shot 46.6% from the field, 0.5% higher than the 46.1% the Mavericks’ opponents shot last season.
- Miami went 33-9-2 against the spread and 36-9 overall when it shot higher than 46.1% from the field.
- When Dallas’ opponents shot above 46.6% from the field last season, it was 32-13 against the spread and 33-12 overall.
- The Mavericks shot 36.7% from deep last season, two% higher than the 34.7% the Heat allowed to opponents.
- Dallas had a 33-17-2 record against the spread and a 36-16 record overall when the team connected on more than 34.7% of its three-point shots.
- Miami put up a 41-17-3 against the spread while going 46-15 overall in games last season when its opponents shot higher than 36.7% from deep.
- The Heat shot 37.4% from three-point distance last season. That’s 1.9 percentage points higher than the Mavericks allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (35.5%).
- Miami went 41-18-3 ATS and 48-14 overall when the team made more than 35.5% of its three-point attempts.
- Dallas had a 29-17-2 ATS record and a 37-12 straight-up record in games last season it shot better than 37.4% from three-point range.
- The Mavericks hit 15 three-pointers per game last season, 1.7 more made shots on average than the 13.3 per game the Heat gave up.
- When Dallas made more threes than its opponents last season, it went 31-25-3 against the spread and 36-23 overall. When Miami was out-shot from deep by its opponents, it was 15-29-1 ATS and 18-28 straight up.
- The Mavericks were the second-best three-point shooting team in the NBA last season, while the Heat allowed the 24th-fewest makes from deep.
Mavericks vs Heat Stat Rankings
| Mavericks Rank | Mavericks AVG | Heat AVG | Heat Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3rd | 117 | Points Scored | 111.6 | 15th |
| 16th | 113.1 | Points Allowed | 108.9 | 10th |
| 6th | 46.7 | Rebounds | 43.7 | 14th |
| 11th | 10.3 | Off. Rebounds | 8.3 | 29th |
| 2nd | 15 | 3pt Made | 13.3 | 6th |
| 14th | 24.4 | Assists | 25.7 | 5th |
| 1st | 12.1 | Turnovers | 13.6 | 15th |
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