Davis Mills will hope to make a difference for the Houston Texans when they square off against the Washington Commanders at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday in Week 11 of the NFL season. In this piece we’ll dig into Mills’ stats and trends to help you make good predictions among his prop bets for this outing.
Davis Mills Player Props Vs Commanders
2022 Betting Outcomes
| Passing | Rushing | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 5 | 2 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 7 | 0 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 4 | 0 |
Davis Mills’ Passing Trends
- Mills has 1,975 passing yards (219.4 ypg), completing 62.4% of his passes and tossing 11 touchdown passes and nine interceptions this season.
- Mills averages 6.7 yards per attempt passing this season, which ranks 27th in the NFL.
- Mills’ 1,975 passing yards and 11 TDs both rank 18th in the NFL.
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Mills’ Rushing Trends
- He’s also carried the ball 12 times for 28 yards, averaging 3.1 yards per game.
- He averages 2.3 yards per attempt.
This Week’s Predictions
| Mills (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Commanders (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219.5+ Passing Yards | 55.6% | 56.7% | 50% | 54.3% |
| 1+ Passing TDs | 77.8% | 78.9% | 90% | 81% |
| 2+ Passing TDs | 44.4% | 41.3% | 60% | 47.9% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 37.1% | 14.3% | 8.2% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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