Bucks vs Heat: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – December 29, 2020

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on December 29, 2020

Central Division foes square off when the Milwaukee Bucks (1-2) visit the Miami Heat (1-1) at American Airlines Arena, beginning at 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, December 29, 2020. The Heat are underdogs in the game, the first matchup between the teams this season. The matchup has an over/under of points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from DraftKings sportsbook as of December 29, 2020, 1:06 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Bucks vs Heat Betting Odds

Injury Report as of December 29

Bucks:
Torrey Craig: Out (Face)

Heat:
Jimmy Butler: Day To Day (Ankle),
Gabe Vincent: Day To Day (Right Knee)

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Bucks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Giannis Antetokounmpo 63 29.5 13.6 5.6 1.0 1.0 1.4
Khris Middleton 62 20.9 6.2 4.3 0.9 0.1 2.4
Jrue Holiday 61 19.1 4.8 6.7 1.6 0.8 2.0
Brook Lopez 68 12.0 4.6 1.5 0.7 2.4 1.5
Bryn Forbes 63 11.2 2.0 1.7 0.5 0.0 2.3

Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jimmy Butler 58 19.9 6.7 6.0 1.8 0.6 0.5
Goran Dragic 59 16.2 3.2 5.1 0.7 0.2 2.1
Bam Adebayo 72 15.9 10.2 5.1 1.1 1.3 0.0
Kendrick Nunn 67 15.3 2.7 3.3 0.8 0.2 2.0
Tyler Herro 55 13.5 4.1 2.2 0.6 0.2 2.1

Shooting Trends

  • The Bucks shot 47.4% from the field last season, 2.5 percentage points higher than the 44.9% the Heat allowed to opponents.
  • Milwaukee went 40-20 against the spread and 52-8 overall when it shot better than 44.9% from the field.
  • Miami’s record was 42-19-3 against the spread and 48-17 overall when its opponents made more than 47.4% of their shots from the field.
  • The Heat’s 46.6% shooting percentage from the field last season was 4.9 percentage points higher than the Bucks gave up to their opponents (41.7%).
  • Last season, Miami had a 50-27-3 record against the spread and a 54-27 record overall in games the team collectively shot above 41.7% from the field.
  • Milwaukee went 42-27 against the spread and 54-15 overall in games it allowed opponents to shoot over 46.6% from the field.
  • The Bucks’ 35.5% three-point shooting percentage last season was only 0.8 percentage points higher than opponents of the Heat shot from deep (34.7%).
  • Milwaukee went 31-14 against the spread and 41-4 overall when it shot better than 34.7% from distance.
  • Miami went 35-12-2 against the spread while putting together a 38-11 straight-up record when its opponents shot above 35.5% from beyond the arc.
  • The Heat shot 37.4% from three-point distance last season. That’s 1.6 percentage points higher than the Bucks allowed their opponents to shoot from deep (35.8%).
  • Miami went 40-15-2 ATS and 45-12 overall when the team made more than 35.8% of its three-point attempts.
  • Milwaukee had a 34-16 ATS record and a 42-8 straight-up record last season when it connected on more than 37.4% of its three-point shots.
  • The Bucks’ 13.7 made three-pointers per game last season were only 0.4 more made shots on average than the 13.3 per game the Heat gave up.
  • When Milwaukee made more three-pointers than its opponents last season, it went 27-11 against the spread and 33-5 overall. When Miami was out-shot from beyond the arc by its opponents, it was 15-29-1 ATS and 18-28 straight up.
  • The Bucks were the fourth-best three-point shooting team in the NBA last season, while the Heat allowed the 24th-fewest makes from deep.

Bucks vs Heat Stat Rankings

Bucks Rank Bucks AVG Heat AVG Heat Rank
1st 117.8 Points Scored 111.6 15th
8th 108.7 Points Allowed 108.9 10th
1st 51.1 Rebounds 43.7 14th
25th 9.5 Off. Rebounds 8.3 29th
4th 13.7 3pt Made 13.3 6th
6th 25.7 Assists 25.7 5th
25th 14.6 Turnovers 13.6 15th

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