NBA Daily Plays Analysis 3/23

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 23, 2015 - Last Updated on June 27, 2018

There’s a six game slate tonight and with a ton of injuries in the NBA, options may be limited. However, that doesn’t mean that putting together a good lineup is out of the question. Below I’ll break down some of my NBA Daily plays for this evening.


Point Guards


The two top options at point guard this evening will play each other. The Wizards will head to Golden State to face the Warriors. We should see plenty of highlights from this game. Curry is the more expensive of the two, but offers the higher ceiling. The last time he faced the Wizards he dropped 50 fantasy points, whereas the last time Wall faced the Warriors, he scored 33 fantasy points. Both make solid options for tonight and are in play. The price difference isn’t significant on either site, so essentially it’s a matter of preference. I personally would roll with Curry. Kemba Walker has put together back-to-back productive games. In his last two games he’s topped 34 fantasy points. Tonight he faces the Bulls who he is averaging 36.9 fantasy points per game against. The Bulls are allowing 48.5 points per game to opposing point guards in their last 10 games. It’s been two games back in the starting lineup for Walker and two good outings. He can be in line for a third straight productive game. George Hill is also on my radar tonight. He could potentially have a higher usage rate if Rodney Stuckey ends sitting out of tonight’s game. Hill has topped 30 fantasy points in five of his last six games on DraftKings. Patrick Beverly defends well but is hampered with an elbow injury and is questionable for tonight’s game, so Hill could have an easier matchup than anticipated.


Mike Conley makes an interesting play tonight as well. He’s returned from his ankle injury on Friday. He appeared rusty in his first game back, but quickly shook that rust off in Saturday’s game against Portland, as he scored 40 fantasy points. Tonight he has the Knicks and should be able to pick up right where he left off on Saturday. He’s been inconsistent this season, but has topped scored 40 or more fantasy points in two of the last four games he’s played. I’ll take that against the Knicks for $6,100 on both sites. Evan Turner is a point guard on DraftKings and a shooting guard on FanDuel. He’s less than $6,000 on both sites and could be a solid option tonight. He’s an erratic player therefore I’d only recommend him in tournaments. If Ricky Rubio sits out again tonight, then Zach LaVine remains a cheap option that’s in play. LaVine needs about 27 fantasy points to hit value tonight. He’s topped that three times in the last five games. My punt play tonight is Trey Burke. Despite some horrific outings recently, Burke has topped 20 fantasy points in four straight games. I’m also taking into consideration that Gordon Hayward could miss tonight’s game, which will open the door for other players on the Jazz to see an increase in usage rate.


Shooting Guard


James Harden is the top option and is always in play. He is coming off of a poor performance against the Suns as he shot just 26 percent from the field. The good news is that he will play the Pacers tonight and he’s already torched them once. The last time he played against Indiana, Harden scored 67.8 fantasy points. He’s always capable of 60+ fantasy point games. Klay Thompson was listed as questionable earlier in the day, but now is listed as probable. He’s always in play when active, but could be risky since he’ll likely take the court at less than 100 percent. Keep an eye on his status if you take a chance with him. With Jimmy Butler and Rodney Stuckey as game time decisions, Kevin Martin is the next shooting guard to choose from. He’ll go up against a stingy Jazz defense, but if you’re contemplating a more affordable shooting guard, he’s in play. Martin has topped 30 fantasy points in four of the last five games on DraftKings and with Rubio doubtful for tonight, his usage rate should remain high. He’s attempted more than 15 shots in the last five games. A tournament play I’d consider tonight is Corey Brewer. He averages 23 fantasy points per game for the season, but has topped 27 fantasy points in six of the last seven games, including four 30+ fantasy point games. Since I suggested a punt play at the point guard position, it is only fair I did the same for shooting guards. Bojan Bogdanovic has played 27+ minutes in four consecutive games and has topped 27 fantasy points three times in that span. At nearly the minimum salary, he is all but guaranteed to at least hit value so long as he gets the minutes.


Small Forward


Gordon Hayward and Trevor Ariza are both questionable for tonight’s game, which leave Andrew Wiggins as the potential most expensive option. This is probably a position I won’t pay up for tonight for that reason. The guys I’m targeting are Jeff Green, Tony Allen, and Rodney Hood. I know that is not an appealing list, but there’s not much to work with tonight and I’ll settle for one of them at an economical price. Green has played well in the last three games, scoring more than 25 fantasy points in each of those games, including two 30+ fantasy point performances. Another incentive is that he is facing the Knicks, a team he scored nearly 40 fantasy points the last time he played against them. I’ve written about Allen a couple of times now and he has yet to let me down, so I’ll go ahead and continue riding his hot streak. He’s shooting the ball well and racking up steals. Allen has now topped his yearly average of fantasy points per game in nine of his last 10 games. He too faces a vulnerable Knicks defense. Hood cooled down after four solid games, but had a decent outing against the Warriors on Saturday night. There’s a good chance he can continue that tonight against the Timberwolves who are bad defensively. Not to mention, there’s a good chance that Hayward misses tonight’s game which should equate to more opportunities for Hood. Another cheap flier to consider tonight is C.J. Miles, but only if Rodney Stuckey sits out. I wouldn’t trust him in cash games however.


Power Forwards


We finally get to a position with plenty of options. Pau Gasol, Derrick Favors, Draymond Green, and Zach Randolph are all in play tonight. Gasol has fared well against the Hornets this season averaging 43 fantasy points per game against them. He pretty much a lock for a double-double and provides a steady floor. Favors will likely be on everyone’s radar tonight. He has a favorable matchup and could potentially see a higher than normal usage rate. He’s coming off a big game against the Warriors and I’m expecting a similar stat line against the Timberwolves tonight. He’s all but guaranteed a double-double. Some cheaper options to consider are Donatas Montiejunas, Thaddeus Young, and Jae Crowder. The Rockets are hurting with a ton of injuries, which has opened the door for Montiejunas. He has scored 25 or more fantasy points in four consecutive games and scored 26.8 fantasy points the last time he played the Pacers. Josh Smith, Patrick Beverley, and Trevor Ariza are game time calls, while Terrence Jones and Dwight Howard are out for tonight’s game. Someone has to pick up the slack tonight and Montiejunas will have the opportunity to do so. Jae Crowder has been on a hot streak recently and at his low price, it wouldn’t be a bad idea to give him a go tonight. Crowder takes on the Nets who don’t particularly defend well against power forwards. They’re allowing over 50 fantasy points per game on DraftKings in their last 10 games and 45.4 fantasy points per game on Fan Duel. Needless to say, he should have no trouble extending this hot streak. He’s topped 29 fantasy points in four of the last five games on DraftKings.




Rudy Gobert has been in a rut in the last couple of games, but should be able to bounce back tonight against the Timberwolves who allow the third most fantasy points per game to opposing centers. Gobert has made just one shot in the last two games, but could see more shot attempts if Hayward misses tonight. Marc Gasol is also in play against the Knicks, but a potential blowout can limit his minutes. Brook Lopez is cheaper than $7,000 on DraftKings and makes a great play. Lopez has been playing really well in recent games. He’s topped 29 fantasy points in four straight games. He takes on the Celtics tonight who are surrendering the fifth most fantasy points against opposing centers. Lopez should have no trouble in the paint against a vulnerable defense.  Now that Nikola Pekovic has officially been ruled out, Gorgui Dieng is an appealing option. Dieng is $6,400 on DraftKings and $6,700 on FanDuel, so essentially, he won’t be a huge blow to your salary cap. Even better is that he has the ability to score 50+ fantasy points as he’s done it twice in the last 10 games. The Jazz typically defend well against centers, but have allowed 12 more fantasy points per game than their yearly average over their last five games and 10 more fantasy points per game in their last 10 games. If you’re not paying premium price for a center today, you should be content with Dieng in your lineup.

Good luck to all tonight!

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