We’re heading down the home stretch of the 2020-21 NFL season and there are many ways to cash in on your knowledge of the most popular professional sports league in the country. The smartest and most fortunate bettors should still be alive in their survivor pools.
At PlayPicks, we’re breaking down the NFL survivor pool landscape to bring you weekly options that will help you stay alive and ahead of the field in your pool.
For those new to survivor pools, the format is simple: Pick an NFL team to win each week, advance if they win, and you can’t pick the same team twice. The last member of the pool standing takes home the cash.
In this article, we will identify our strongest survivor pick for this week, called a “lock“, and a “thrifty” pick that can help you save better teams for later in the season.
The lock is our safest and most obvious pick for the week. The thrifty pick is a good team to consider at this point in the season schedule. And our land mine identifies a team that might be a popular pick but could come up short when the defecation hits the oscillation in the NFL and thousands of survivors lose a supposed lock to an upset.
You can also use advice from this article to place bets on FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook. Many of the recommended bets can be applied to those sportsbooks. Also, be aware that the point spread could be considerable with these teams favored to win by over a touchdown in some cases.
Week 15 Lock Survivor Pool Pick
Los Angeles Rams vs New York Jets
The Jets scored on their first possession in Seattle, which stunningly extends their streak to a league-high 7 straight games with points on their first series. Yet that was the only competent drive Sam Darnold put together with Jamison Crowder hobbled and Denzel Mims on I.R. Even if they get healthier this week, the Jets receivers are unlikely to create much separation against an elite Rams secondary that ranks fourth in DVOA pass defense per Football Outsiders. Sean McVay will design easy opportunities to exploit the Jets 32nd-ranked pass defense and the Rams have established a very balanced offense with Cam Akers erupting for 253 rushing yards over his last 2 appearances.
Week 15 Thrifty Survivor Pool Pick
Tennessee Titans vs Detroit Lions
The Lions rank 28th in DVOA rush defense and dead last in total DVOA defense per Football Outsiders. They’re coughing up 144.1 rushing YPG at a 5.0 YPC clip in the road this season and will likely serve as a stepping stool for Derrick Henry en route to his second consecutive rushing title. Henry is averaging 6.7 YPC over his last 2 outings and the Titans offensive line now ranks third in adjusted yards (4.88) per carry. Ryan Tannehill has posted a passer rating of 104 or higher in 4 straight games and the Lions could be forced to start immobile veteran Chase Daniel if Matthew Stafford (ribs) is ruled out.
Week 15 Survivor Pool Land Mine
Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans
Deshaun Watson has virtually no help in Houston, yet he’s such a talented and capable competitor that we wouldn’t bank on the Texans repeating their feeble 36-7 loss at Chicago. Brandin Cooks (foot) could return in Week 15 and Watson is finding more of a rapport with young WRs Keke Coutee and Chad Hansen. The Colts saw CB Xavier Rhodes (knee) and LB Darius Leonard (back) depart their win over the Raiders with injuries and those are arguably their best two defensive players. Houston’s defense held the Colts to 3.8 YPC and 3-for-11 on third down conversions in a narrow 26-20 defeat two weeks ago that could’ve gone the other way if not for an uncharacteristic fumble by Watson near the goal line.