We’re heading down the home stretch of the 2020-21 NFL season and there are many ways to cash in on your knowledge of the most popular professional sports league in the country. The smartest and most fortunate bettors should still be alive in their survivor pools.
At PlayPicks, we’re breaking down the NFL survivor pool landscape to bring you weekly options that will help you stay alive and ahead of the field in your pool.
For those new to survivor pools, the format is simple: Pick an NFL team to win each week, advance if they win, and you can’t pick the same team twice. The last member of the pool standing takes home the cash.
In this article, we will identify our strongest survivor pick for this week, called a “lock“, and a “thrifty” pick that can help you save better teams for later in the season.
The lock is our safest and most obvious pick for the week. The thrifty pick is a good team to consider at this point in the season schedule. And our land mine identifies a team that might be a popular pick but could come up short when the defecation hits the oscillation in the NFL and thousands of survivors lose a supposed lock to an upset.
You can also use advice from this article to place bets on FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook. Many of the recommended bets can be applied to those sportsbooks. Also, be aware that the point spread could be considerable with these teams favored to win by over a touchdown in some cases.
Week 14 Lock Survivor Pool Pick
Seattle Seahawks vs New York Jets
The Seahawks offense came out flat against a surging Giants defense, resulting in a surprising home loss when they were favored by 10-plus points. Seattle is a two-touchdown favorite in some spots this week and is virtually guaranteed to bounce back against a Jets team that now ranks dead last in DVOA pass defense. Despite Russell Wilson’s recent struggles, the Seahawks rank 4th in DVOA pass offense and a league-high 87% of their TDs at home have come through the air. The Jets allow a league-high 116 passer rating on the road and might be able to stop the Seahawks rushing attack, but will have zero answers for D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.
Week 14 Thrifty Survivor Pool Pick
Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals
This is certainly your last chance to get the Cowboys in a confident spot, even if they’re listed as slight favorites in Week 16 in a division tilt against the inconsistent Eagles. With Joe Burrow (knee) out for the year and Joe Mixon (foot) on I.R. the Bengals have become the worst team in football. Cincy’s offense ranks 31st in yards per play (4.8), 30th in third-down conversion rate (35.4%), and averages 15.6 PPG on the road. Over their last 3 games the Bengals are averaging 207.7 total YPG, which is the lowest mark in the NFL by a wide margin. Dallas has at least been competent defensively since cutting 2 starters in late October. The Cowboys offense is loaded with talent and Andy Dalton provides a far better option than Brandon Allen or Ryan Finley provides at QB for Cincy.
Week 14 Survivor Pool Land Mine
New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles
Most entrants have probably used the Saints in their survivor pool by now. If you haven’t, this could be a bad week to trust them with Drew Brees (ribs) potentially returning in a cold weather game at Philly. The Eagles might turn to Jalen Hurts at QB and that could galvanize an otherwise listless team. This could also be a trap game for the Saints as they prepare for a showdown with the Chiefs in Week 15. If you already used the Saints and are considering similar road favorites in the Titans or Packers, exercise some caution in those divisional matchups and consider rolling with one of our safer picks above.